Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2022-23 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2022-23 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

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Players

723 reports across 32 clubs, listed by surname. Back to the first page

Evidence

Page 8 of 13 · Mangiapane to Nedeljkovic

26

Andrew Mangiapane

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

LW · Calgary Flames

Thirty-five goals at 18.9 per cent, the 95th percentile, from a sixth-round pick playing 15:44 a night.

42

Josh Manson

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

D · Colorado Avalanche

Eight point four five hits per 60 at the 90th percentile and takeaways at the 95th — from a defenceman who fouls at the 94th.

39

Anthony Mantha

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

RW · Washington Capitals

Thirty-seven games at 2.56 even-strength points per 60, and seven goals better than expectation on his ice.

63

Brad Marchand

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

LW · Boston Bruins

Eighty points in 70 games at thirty-four, a 64 per cent chance share, and a summer of hip surgery on both sides.

81

Jonathan Marchessault

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

C · Vegas Golden Knights

Thirty goals off the 14th-most shots per 60 of 393 forwards, on ice for seven and a half fewer than the model asked.

27

Mason Marchment

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

LW · Dallas Stars

Forty-seven points in 54 games and the 2nd-highest chance share of the 393 qualified forwards — on the best club in the league.

6

John Marino

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

D · New Jersey Devils

One goal on ninety shots at 20:38 a night, with the 95th-percentile penalty ledger and the 88th for takeaways.

25

Jacob Markstrom

Evidence behind this report: No record. No five-on-five record — Markstrom did not play a measured season. Everything on the page is an older line and a judgment.

G · Calgary Flames

Thirty-seven wins, nine shutouts and a .9219, on the club whose goaltending finished 13.9 goals ahead of its chances.

93

Mitch Marner

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

RW · Toronto Maple Leafs

Ninety-seven points, the 7th-most takeaways of 393 forwards and the 2nd-most giveaways on the club.

77

Patrick Maroon

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

LW · Tampa Bay Lightning

The 3rd-slowest top speed and the 2nd-fewest sprints of all 365 forwards, and 134 penalty minutes.

17

Matt Martin

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

LW · New York Islanders

The 2nd-most hits of 393 forwards, 1,052 career penalty minutes, and the 1st-percentile even-strength point rate.

25

Alec Martinez

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing, only 459 five-on-five minutes. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

D · Vegas Golden Knights

Twenty-six games at 8.03 blocks per 60, which no qualified defenceman in the league matched.

48

Jordan Martinook

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

LW · Carolina Hurricanes

A 55.4 per cent chance share on eleven minutes a night, and a 23.0 mph top speed at the 87th percentile from a fourth-line winger.

8

Mike Matheson

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

D · Montreal Canadiens

The 2nd-most ground covered and the 3rd-most sprints of all 192 qualified defencemen, arriving from Pittsburgh.

34

Auston Matthews

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

C · Toronto Maple Leafs

Sixty goals, the most takeaways per 60 of all 393 forwards, and the 2nd-most shots.

24

Scott Mayfield

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

D · New York Islanders

The 2nd-least ground covered of 192 defencemen, the 31st-most blocks of 202, and the 95th-percentile shot distance.

37

Dysin Mayo

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

D · Arizona Coyotes

A 25-year-old rookie who played 20:55 a night at the lowest chance share in the league, and every regular on the roster lost ten points of it beside him.

73

Charlie McAvoy

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

D · Boston Bruins

Fifty-six points, 24:38 a night, plus-31 and a 61.2 per cent chance share — and shoulder surgery that will cost him the first two months.

22

Jake McCabe

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

D · Chicago Blackhawks

Forty-two point eight per cent of the shot attempts, the 3rd percentile, and blocks at the 96th.

19

Jared McCann

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

LW · Seattle Kraken

The 9th-hardest shot of 365 forwards and the 9th-lowest slot share of 393, and twenty-seven goals off it.

47

Michael McCarron

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing, only 483 five-on-five minutes. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

C · Nashville Predators

Six-foot-six and 232 pounds, the 20th-most hits of 393 forwards, and the 7th-most penalties taken of 595 skaters.

97

Connor McDavid

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

C · Edmonton Oilers

One hundred and twenty-three points, and the highest penalty differential of all 393 qualified forwards — plus 1.16 per 60.

27

Ryan McDonagh

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

D · Nashville Predators

The 2nd-most short-handed ice time and the 6th-lowest giveaway rate of 202 defencemen, arriving from a Stanley Cup final.

26

Brock McGinn

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

LW · Pittsburgh Penguins

The 25th-most blocks of 393 forwards and the 30th-heaviest penalty-killing load, on the 20th-percentile attempt share.

20

Michael McLeod

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

C · New Jersey Devils

The 12th-most sprints of 365 forwards and the 8th-most buried zone starts of 652 skaters, with the 5th-percentile shot rate.

71

Ryan McLeod

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

C · Edmonton Oilers

The most ground covered of the 365 forwards the tracking follows, the 5th-most sprints over 20 mph — and the 6th-softest shot.

77

Connor McMichael

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

LW · Washington Capitals

The best expected-goal share on the club at 21, off the 14th-smallest workload of 393 forwards.

3

Brayden McNabb

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

D · Vegas Golden Knights

The most blocks per 60 of 202 defencemen and the fewest sprints of 192, out of the hardest chair on the club.

88

Jaycob Megna

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

D · San Jose Sharks

The softest shot of all 192 defencemen — 78.7 mph — at 6-6 and 214 pounds.

20

Jayson Megna

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing, only 0 five-on-five minutes. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

C · Colorado Avalanche

Twenty games, three assists, and 148 NHL games spread across eight seasons.

28

Timo Meier

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

RW · San Jose Sharks

The 3rd-most shots per 60 of all 393 forwards, from the 9th-lowest slot share.

91

Dawson Mercer

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

C · New Jersey Devils

Eighty-two games at twenty, forty-two points, the 27th-most takeaways of 393 forwards and a minus-25.

4

Jon Merrill

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

D · Minnesota Wild

Twenty points with none on the power play, the 2nd-percentile ground covered, and sixteen goals of finishing above the model on his ice.

90

Elvis Merzlikins

Evidence behind this report: No record. No five-on-five record — Merzlikins did not play a measured season. Everything on the page is an older line and a judgment.

G · Columbus Blue Jackets

A .9073 in 59 games behind the highest rate of expected goals against in the league — and 18.7 goals worse than the chances the club faced.

98

Victor Mete

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing, only 460 five-on-five minutes. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

D · Toronto Maple Leafs

A 5-9 defenceman with five goals in 236 games and the 6th-percentile shot velocity.

55

Jake Middleton

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

D · Minnesota Wild

A seventh-round pick playing 18:41 a night, with the 18th-most blocks and the 14th-most penalties taken of 202 defencemen.

95

Ilya Mikheyev

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

RW · Vancouver Canucks

The 11th-most sprints of 365 tracked forwards, undrafted, with four short-handed goals in fifty-three games.

77

Niko Mikkola

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

D · St. Louis Blues

The worst penalty differential of all 202 defencemen, and the 2nd-softest shot of 192.

15

Sonny Milano

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

LW · Washington Capitals

The 13th-shortest median shot of 393 forwards and the 21st-softest of 365.

6

Colin Miller

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

D · Dallas Stars

The 15th-hardest recorded shot of the 649 skaters the tracking covers, and 93 per cent of his attempts came from beyond forty feet.

10

J.T. Miller

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

C · Vancouver Canucks

Ninety-nine points at 21:05 a night, at both special teams, in a career year at 29.

19

K'Andre Miller

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

D · New York Rangers

The 97th-percentile takeaway rate and the 90th-percentile top speed at 6-5, in a second NHL season.

11

Casey Mittelstadt

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

C · Buffalo Sabres

Eighth overall in 2017, 80 points in 195 games, and a 21.2 mph top speed at the 3rd percentile.

23

Sean Monahan

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

C · Montreal Canadiens

The largest power-play share of points of all 393 qualified forwards — 57 per cent — and the 10th-lowest even-strength rate.

35

Samuel Montembeault

Evidence behind this report: No record. No five-on-five record — Montembeault did not play a measured season. Everything on the page is an older line and a judgment.

G · Montreal Canadiens

Three NHL seasons at .8936, .8904 and .8915 — the most consistent bad save percentage in the book.

62

Brandon Montour

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

D · Florida Panthers

The most ground covered and the 5th-fastest top speed of the 192 defencemen the tracking follows — and the 12th-fewest blocks of 202.

12

Trevor Moore

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

LW · Los Angeles Kings

Undrafted, tied for the NHL lead in short-handed goals, and the 7th-percentile giveaway rate among 393 forwards.

44

Josh Morrissey

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

D · Winnipeg Jets

The 16th-most miles per 60 of 192 tracked defencemen at 23:40 a night, and eleven goals short of expectation on his ice.

90

J.J. Moser

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

D · Arizona Coyotes

A Swiss second-round rookie who played 18:42 a night at the third-lowest chance share among the league qualified defencemen.

14

Tyler Motte

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

C · Ottawa Senators

The 4th-most blocks of 393 forwards and the 85th-percentile penalty-killing load, at 5-10 and 194 pounds.

34

Petr Mrazek

Evidence behind this report: No record. No five-on-five record — Mrazek did not play a measured season. Everything on the page is an older line and a judgment.

G · Chicago Blackhawks

A .8885 in 20 games in Toronto, on a career .9093 across 295 — and the club he joins finished 27th in goaltending.

5

Connor Murphy

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

D · Chicago Blackhawks

Seven point two six blocks per 60 — the 3rd-highest of the 202 qualified defencemen — and 43.6 per cent of the attempts.

30

Matt Murray

Evidence behind this report: No record. No five-on-five record — Murray did not play a measured season. Everything on the page is an older line and a judgment.

G · Toronto Maple Leafs

A .9112 across 7,255 shots, and three consecutive seasons beneath .9070 to finish.

28

Ryan Murray

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing, only 495 five-on-five minutes. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

D · Edmonton Oilers

Thirty-seven games, no goals, and 81.1 mph off the stick.

8

Jake Muzzin

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

D · Toronto Maple Leafs

The 16th-most giveaways of 202 defencemen and the 95th-percentile ground covered, in forty-seven games.

51

Philippe Myers

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing, only 368 five-on-five minutes. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

D · Tampa Bay Lightning

A 98.9 mph shot at 6-5, undrafted, on twenty-seven games and the 9th-percentile chance share.

57

Tyler Myers

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

D · Vancouver Canucks

One goal from 128 shots at 6-8, off the 7th-hardest shot of 192 defencemen.

7

Vladislav Namestnikov

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

C · Tampa Bay Lightning

The 8th-shortest median shot of 393 forwards, and sixteen goals off the 40th-lowest shot rate.

88

Martin Necas

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

C · Carolina Hurricanes

A 24.0 mph top speed at the 99th percentile — the fifth-fastest forward in this book — and only 31 per cent of his shots from the slot.

33

Alex Nedeljkovic

Evidence behind this report: No record. No five-on-five record — Nedeljkovic did not play a measured season. Everything on the page is an older line and a judgment.

G · Detroit Red Wings

A .9009 across 59 games and 1,796 shots — 39th of the 53 goaltenders who played 25 or more.