Armchair Hockey Scout

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2022-23 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2022-23 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2024-25 report →

77

Patrick Maroon

Tampa Bay Lightning Left Wing

The 3rd-slowest top speed and the 2nd-fewest sprints of all 365 forwards, and 134 penalty minutes.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2011-12ANA20000200010.012:33
2012-13ANA13213-110000219.59:47
2013-14ANA62111829+111011039311.812:19
2014-15ANA7192534-5821011207.514:17
2015-16ANA/EDM72121527-78850110411.512:20
2016-17EDM81271542+139530517815.216:44
2017-18EDM/NJD74172643+17310414112.116:32
2018-19STL74101828-3642031188.514:10
2019-20TBL6491423+4711018011.312:25
2020-21TBL5541418+260200468.711:36
2021-22TBL81111627+2013430010210.812:24
2022-23 so far—————————————
Career—649112162274+3578019018100411.213:41

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

81 games, 11 goals and 16 assists at 12:24 a night, plus-20, 134 penalty minutes, 102 shots. Three of the eleven came on the power play. Hundred-and-sixty-first overall in 2007 by Philadelphia — the sixth round — eleven seasons, 649 games, 274 points.

The Finesse Game

53.8 per cent of the expected goals is the 78th percentile among the 393 forwards who played forty games and 51.2 per cent of the attempts the 64th.

Sixty per cent of his attempts came from the slot at a 19-foot median, and eleven goals came out of 102 of them at 10.8 per cent.

1.40 even-strength points per 60 is the 26th percentile and 0.96 takeaways per 60 the 8th — there is very little production and the chance share is genuinely good.

42.8 per cent of his even-strength ice was spent in the offensive zone, the 82nd percentile, and he started 43.8 per cent of his end-zone shifts in the attacking end, the 144th-lowest of the 652 skaters who took two hundred end-zone starts.

His ice went 37-19 against an expectation of 39.12-33.62 — two short in front and fourteen fewer against than the model asked, which is the largest favourable deviation of any forward on this roster.

The Physical Game

9.56 hits per 60 is the 87th percentile among forwards, at 6-3 and 234 pounds on a 12:24 shift.

2.15 penalties taken per 60 is the 7th-most of all 393 forwards, against 1.43 drawn, and 134 penalty minutes came out of eighty-one games.

The net of minus-0.72 is the 3rd percentile. On a club that spent 4:59 a game short-handed, this is expensive, and 0.66 blocks per 60 at the 3rd percentile says he does not help pay it back.

The Intangibles

His 20.8 mph top speed is the 3rd-slowest of the 365 forwards the tracking measures and 0.4 bursts over twenty miles an hour per 60 is the 2nd-fewest. Only Nicklas Backstrom got above twenty miles an hour less often, in the whole league.

His shot is 81.0 mph — the 13th-softest of the 557 qualified skaters.

He is 34, with 274 points in 649 games and 780 penalty minutes. The chance share, the hits and eighty-one games at 34 are the case. The slowest legs and among the softest shots in the league, 134 penalty minutes and no blocks are what a club pays for them.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    81 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • punishinga strength· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “9.56 hits per 60 is the 87th percentile among forwards, at 6-3 and 234 pounds on a 12:24 shift.”

  • retaliateshe lacks it· answers the cross-check, and takes the second penalty

    “2.15 penalties taken per 60 is the 7th-most of all 393 forwards, against 1.43 drawn, and 134 penalty minutes came out of eighty-one games.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 919 minutes

Expected goals
53.8%
81st pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
51.2%
67th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 37 for, 19 against. Expected: 39.1 and 33.6.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
43rd
Numbers
81st

The numbers rank him 38 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 59 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 81 games

Top speed
20.8 mph
10th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0

Bursts over 20 mph
0.09 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
1.91 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
81.0 mph
24th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.1

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2021-22 · 919 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2021-22

The club
TBL took 52.5% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 53.8% — 1.3 above the club he did it on.
The role
Second line, 919 minutes at five-on-five — 53rd percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Corey Perry56.5%40.6%53.8%
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare53.7%54.0%52.2%
Mikhail Sergachev57.0%51.7%51.2%

56.5% together, 40.6% for him apart and 53.8% for Perry apart. He was worse away from Perry, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Perry did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

134 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 11 of them goals. His median goal came from 9 feet. 52% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 10% from beyond forty.