Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2022-23 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2022-23 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

25

Jacob Markstrom

Calgary Flames Goaltender

Thirty-seven wins, nine shutouts and a .9219, on the club whose goaltending finished 13.9 goals ahead of its chances.

SeasonTeamGPWLOTLGAGAASOSASV%
2010-11FLA101023.01014.857
2011-12FLA7241172.660222.923
2012-13FLA238141683.220685.901
2013-14FLA/VAN16283463.390361.873
2014-15VAN311043.09033.879
2015-16VAN3313144842.730988.915
2016-17VAN2610113622.630692.910
2017-18VAN60232671542.7121745.912
2018-19VAN60282391662.7711896.912
2019-20VAN43231641172.7521420.918
2020-21CGY43221921112.6831161.904
2021-22CGY63371591372.2291754.922
2022-23 so far——————————
Career—378169152439682.691710971.912

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

63 games, 37-15-9, a .9219 save percentage and a 2.22 goals-against average, with 9 shutouts on 1,754 shots faced.

Nine shutouts, and 37 wins. Both are career highs and the save percentage is too, in his twelfth season.

Calgary’s goaltending finished 13.9 goals ahead of the chances it faced, 5th in the league, and the club allowed 208 goals — 3rd.

The Physical Game

6-6 and 207, and he takes away the net by filling it from a deep, square stance rather than by challenging out. That is the method the size makes available, and the rebound control it depends on is the part of his game that improved most after he left Vancouver.

Twelve seasons and 378 games, a career .9118. The .9219 is 10 points above it and the two Calgary seasons bracket the mean — a .9044 in the first and a .9219 in the second.

The Mental Game

The caveat is the club in front of him and it is a real one. Calgary allowed 2.404 expected goals against per 60 at even strength, 4th in the league, took 55.2 per cent of the chances, and had the 2nd-best penalty kill in hockey. Twenty-eight shots a night behind that is a comfortable crease.

The plus-13.9 already accounts for it, and says he was better than it anyway. What it does not say is how much of the nine shutouts was him.

The Intangibles

Thirty-first overall in 2008 by Florida, and eight seasons of being the goaltender who was going to be good before he was.

He is 32, and the club that finished 6th in the league has just traded away Matthew Tkachuk and lost Johnny Gaudreau for nothing. A .9219 is the reason nobody in Calgary is panicking, and a goaltender in his thirties is a strange thing to build a season’s confidence on.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • ordinaryraised, and called ordinary

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • rebound-controla strength· where the second chance ends up

    “the rebound control it depends on is the part of his game that improved most after he left Vancouver”

  • plays-deeppresent and ordinary· takes the net away by occupying it

    “6-6 and 207, and he takes away the net by filling it from a deep, square stance”