Armchair Hockey Scout

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2022-23 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2022-23 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2024-25 report →

25

Alec Martinez

Vegas Golden Knights Defense

Twenty-six games at 8.03 blocks per 60, which no qualified defenceman in the league matched.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2009-10LAK4000-2200060.015:25
2010-11LAK6051116+1118100746.815:17
2011-12LAK516612-18300787.714:43
2012-13LAK27145-210000303.316:01
2013-14LAK61111122+17143027913.915:41
2014-15LAK5661622+9101011035.819:56
2015-16LAK78102131+16404041248.121:09
2016-17LAK8293039-17242131446.321:38
2017-18LAK7791625+3342001118.122:52
2018-19LAK6041418-28002785.121:22
2019-20LAK/VGK5131316-423000754.021:30
2020-21VGK5392332+26123028510.622:34
2021-22VGK26358+64000329.419:32
2022-23 so far—————————————
Career—68676170246+602071911410197.519:41

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

26 games, 3 goals and 5 assists at 19:32 a night, plus-6, four penalty minutes, 32 shots. Ninety-fifth overall in 2007 by Los Angeles — the fourth round — thirteen seasons, 686 games, 246 points.

Four hundred and fifty-nine minutes of five-on-five ice and twenty-six games are both short of the gate this book uses, so what follows is described rather than ranked.

The Finesse Game

3.78 shots per 60 from a 48-foot median, with eleven per cent of his attempts from inside twenty feet and three goals from thirty-two shots.

1.03 even-strength points per 60, and none of his eight points came on the power play off 0:29 a night with the man advantage.

54.1 per cent of the expected goals across 459 five-on-five minutes, out of 57.7 per cent offensive-zone starts, the 105th-highest of the 652 skaters who took two hundred end-zone starts — the softest chair any defenceman on this roster was given.

His ice went 21-15 against an expectation of 23.67-20.06 — two and a half short in front and five fewer against than the model asked, on a quarter of a season.

The Physical Game

8.03 blocks per 60 across twenty-six games, against a figure of 7.901 that led all 202 qualified defencemen.

He is not in that pool and this is not a league lead, but it is worth saying plainly: the two men on this blue line who block the most shots block more of them than anybody in the league does.

3.07 hits per 60, 1:13 a night short-handed, and four penalty minutes in twenty-six games — 207 across a 686-game career.

6-1 and 210 pounds.

The Intangibles

21.7 mph and 0.59 bursts over twenty miles an hour per 60, both from twenty-six games and both low, against 8.14 miles per 60. His shot is 96.2 mph, which is the one measurement in the file that is genuinely good.

He is 35, a fourth-round pick, with 246 points in 686 games and a career plus-60. Fifty-six games lost is the number, and a defenceman who blocks eight shots per 60 at 35 is a man whose availability is the risk in the file rather than the ability.

Nineteen and a half minutes a night when he played, from the softest chair on the blue line. That is a third pair being protected, and the club was right to protect it.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • sheltered· is started in the attacking end

    58% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 90th percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 47% keep it

  • shot-blockera strength· gets in front of it

    “8.03 blocks per 60 across twenty-six games, against a figure of 7.901 that led all 202 qualified defencemen.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 459 minutes

Expected goals
54.1%
82nd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
51.7%
71st pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 21 for, 15 against. Expected: 23.7 and 20.1.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
91st
Numbers
82nd

The two rank him within 9 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 72 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 26 games

Top speed
21.7 mph
57th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.5

Bursts over 20 mph
0.19 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.65 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
96.2 mph
79th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 90.4

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2021-22 · 459 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2021-22

The club
VGK took 52.7% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 54.1% — 1.4 above the club he did it on.
The role
459 minutes at five-on-five — 15th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Zach Whitecloud57.3%52.4%55.0%
Jonathan Marchessault61.6%50.8%53.6%
Shea Theodore52.5%54.8%52.7%

57.3% together, 52.4% for him apart and 55.0% for Whitecloud apart. He was worse away from Whitecloud, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Whitecloud did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

44 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 3 of them goals. His median goal came from 52 feet. 9% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 73% from beyond forty.