This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Michael McCarron
Nashville Predators Center
Six-foot-six and 232 pounds, the 20th-most hits of 393 forwards, and the 7th-most penalties taken of 595 skaters.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-16 | MTL | 20 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -10 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 41 | 2.4 | 11:41 |
| 2016-17 | MTL | 31 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -4 | 41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 3.2 | 9:53 |
| 2017-18 | MTL | 18 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 0.0 | 8:46 |
| 2020-21 | NSH | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.0 | 10:18 |
| 2021-22 | NSH | 51 | 7 | 7 | 14 | +10 | 70 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 51 | 13.7 | 10:23 |
| 2022-23 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 126 | 9 | 13 | 22 | -4 | 196 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 141 | 6.4 | 10:14 |
This Season So Far
The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
51 games, 7 goals and 7 assists at 10:23 a night, plus-10, seventy penalty minutes. Twenty-fifth overall in 2013 by Montreal, five seasons, 126 games, 22 points, 196 career penalty minutes.
Ten minutes and twenty-three seconds a night is the 3rd percentile for ice time among forwards.
The Finesse Game
1.54 even-strength points per 60 is the 34th percentile and seven per cent of his points came on the power play, where he takes two seconds a night.
5.78 shots per 60 is the 22nd percentile at 13.7 per cent, sixty-one per cent from the slot at a 20-foot median — the 82nd and 20th percentiles. At 6-6 he shoots from where a 6-6 forward should.
48.8 per cent of the expected goals and 49.6 per cent of the attempts from 33.8 per cent offensive-zone starts, the 33rd-lowest of the 652 skaters who took two hundred end-zone starts. That is one of the thirty-five hardest assignments in hockey and he came out close to level.
His ice went 21-13 against an expectation of 17.21-18.07.
The Physical Game
13.14 hits per 60 is the 20th-most of the 393 forwards who played forty games and 3.51 blocks per 60 the 97th percentile, at 6-6 and 232 pounds in ten minutes a night.
2.15 penalties taken per 60 is the 7th-most of the 595 skaters who qualify, and seventy penalty minutes came out of fifty-one games. Against 1.47 drawn — the 31st-most of the 595 — the net is the 4th percentile.
He is in more contact per minute than almost anybody in the league and gives back a great deal of it, on a club that already took more short-handed minutes than any other.
The Intangibles
21.6 mph is the 9th percentile, 6.0 bursts per 60 the 60th, 9.59 miles per 60 the 44th. Slow in a straight line, sprinting at an ordinary rate, covering ordinary ground for a man this size.
He is 27 with 126 NHL games across five seasons and a first-round pick attached to none of them. The size, the hits, the blocks and the buried chair are a complete fourth-line identity, and the penalties are the reason it comes with a bill.
What kind of player
The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.
- measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
- a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.
- hard-minutes· is started in his own end, against the other club's best
34% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 6th percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it
“13.14 hits per 60 is the 20th-most of the 393 forwards who played forty games and 3.51 blocks per 60 the 97th percentile, at 6-6 and 232 pounds in ten minutes a night.”
“2.15 penalties taken per 60 is the 7th-most of the 595 skaters who qualify, and seventy penalty minutes came out of fifty-one games.”
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 483 minutes
- Expected goals
- 48.8%
- 46th pct
- Shot attempts
- 49.6%
- 51st pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 21 for, 13 against. Expected: 17.2 and 18.1.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe two rank him within 13 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.
Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 57 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Tracked
NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 51 games
- Top speed
- 21.6 mph
- 28th pct
- Bursts over 20 mph
- 1.04 a game
- Distance
- 1.66 miles a game
- Hardest shot
- 93.9 mph
- 86th pct
fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0
how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes
skated, all strengths
one shot; the league's average best is 84.1
A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.
Usual linemates
2021-22 · 483 minutes at five-on-five
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2021-22
- The club
- NSH took 49.6% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 48.8% — 0.8 below the club he did it on.
- The role
- Fourth line, 483 minutes at five-on-five — 17th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Tomasino | 53.1% | 45.0% | 52.1% |
| Nick Cousins | 44.6% | 51.8% | 52.1% |
| Roman Josi | 55.4% | 45.1% | 50.9% |
53.1% together, 45.0% for him apart and 52.1% for Tomasino apart. He was worse away from Tomasino, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Tomasino did.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
66 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 7 of them goals. His median goal came from 8 feet. 50% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 17% from beyond forty.