Armchair Hockey Scout

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2022-23 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2022-23 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

12

Trevor Moore

Los Angeles Kings Left Wing

Undrafted, tied for the NHL lead in short-handed goals, and the 7th-percentile giveaway rate among 393 forwards.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2018-19TOR25268+12000267.79:06
2019-20TOR/LAK426410-460006010.012:54
2020-21LAK56101323-5181208811.414:32
2021-22LAK81173148+20201512028.415:41
2022-23 so far—————————————
Career—204355489+12462713769.313:59

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

17 goals and 31 assists in eighty-one games at 15:41 a night — a career high by twenty-five points, from a man whose three previous NHL seasons produced 41 between them. Plus-20, second among Kings behind Matt Roy.

Nobody spent a pick on him and Toronto gave him twenty-five games at 24; he has now tied for a league lead and scored 48 points on a playoff club.

The Finesse Game

Five short-handed goals tied Alex Formenton for the most in the NHL, and were five times his entire power-play output. Four per cent of his points came with the extra man, the 22nd percentile — not a slight, just the shape of the job.

9.54 shots per 60 is the 84th percentile, 59 per cent of them from the slot at a 20-foot median — the 19th percentile for distance. He works from short range and often. 8.4 per cent is the 23rd percentile, which is the gap between the selection and the return.

55.7 per cent of the expected goals and 55.2 per cent of the attempts, the 86th and 87th percentiles. His ice went 47-38 against an expectation of 53.34-42.37.

With Tobias Bjornfot behind him he took 40.8 per cent of the chances across 519 attempts, and 60.7 per cent without him. That twenty-point swing is the largest on this roster and among the largest in the edition. With Danault he was at 58.7 and fell to 50.3 alone; with Doughty, 63.7 and 53.5.

The Physical Game

3.26 hits per 60 is the 40th percentile and 1.51 blocks the 41st. Neither is the point.

0.80 giveaways per 60 is the 7th percentile of the 393 qualified forwards. On a kill playing 4:46 a night, a winger who does not turn it over is doing the whole job — and the five goals say what happens when the other team turns it over instead.

0.90 penalties drawn per 60 against 0.47 taken is an 82nd-percentile net.

The Intangibles

Nothing in the tracking stands out: 22.7 mph, 5.2 bursts per 60 and 9.31 miles per 60 sit between the 22nd and 64th percentiles. He is a normally quick winger of normal size.

What the record shows is a player who has climbed every season since nobody drafted him, and who now does three jobs — even-strength scoring, the kill, and not losing the puck — well enough that fifteen minutes a night is probably underusing him. What it cannot show is whether forty-eight points is his level or his year.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    81 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • undrafteda strength· arrived without a pick attached

    “Nobody spent a pick on him and Toronto gave him twenty-five games at 24; he has now tied for a league lead and scored 48 points on a playoff club.”

  • penalty-killera strength· trusted a man short

    “Five short-handed goals tied Alex Formenton for the most in the NHL, and were five times his entire power-play output.”

  • defensively-responsiblea strength· comes back; can be trusted with a lead

    “0.80 giveaways per 60 is the 7th percentile of the 393 qualified forwards.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 1,059 minutes

Expected goals
55.7%
88th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
55.2%
89th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 47 for, 38 against. Expected: 53.3 and 42.4.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
63rd
Numbers
88th

The numbers rank him 25 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 63 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 81 games

Top speed
22.7 mph
76th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0

Bursts over 20 mph
1.36 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.44 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
88.3 mph
57th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.1

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2021-22 · 1059 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2021-22

The club
LAK took 52.8% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 55.7% — 2.9 above the club he did it on.
The role
Second line, 1,059 minutes at five-on-five — 70th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Phillip Danault58.7%50.3%53.3%
Viktor Arvidsson58.8%51.6%57.5%
Matt Roy60.8%53.9%50.4%

58.7% together, 50.3% for him apart and 53.3% for Danault apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

275 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 18 of them goals. His median goal came from 12 feet. 50% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 19% from beyond forty.