Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2022-23 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2022-23 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

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Players

723 reports across 32 clubs, listed by surname. Back to the first page

Evidence

Page 9 of 13 · Nelson to Protas

11

Brock Nelson

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

C · New York Islanders

Thirty-seven goals at 30 on the 6th-highest shooting percentage of 393 forwards, eleven more than he had ever scored.

2

Patrik Nemeth

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

D · Arizona Coyotes

Six-four and 230, the 89th percentile in blocks, and the second-lowest chance share among the league qualified defencemen — a cap dump the Rangers were glad to be rid of.

15

Alex Newhook

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

C · Colorado Avalanche

Thirty-three points at twenty-one on thirteen minutes a night, with bursts over 20 mph at the 91st percentile.

43

Valeri Nichushkin

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

RW · Colorado Avalanche

Twenty-five goals from 62 per cent slot shots at a median 20 feet, with a top speed at the 94th percentile.

62

Nino Niederreiter

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

RW · Nashville Predators

A 58.4 per cent attempt share and a plus-29 — both of them Carolina's, on a club that finished 2nd in the league in possession.

80

Markus Niemelainen

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing, only 234 five-on-five minutes. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

D · Edmonton Oilers

Six foot five, twenty games, and 87 per cent of his attempts from beyond forty feet.

83

Matt Nieto

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

LW · San Jose Sharks

The 35th-fewest shots per 60 of 393 forwards and the 8th-percentile attempt share, on the 83rd-percentile kill.

9

Josh Norris

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

C · Ottawa Senators

Sixteen power-play goals — tied 3rd in the league — on the 98th-percentile shooting rate, in sixty-six games.

92

Tomas Nosek

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

LW · Boston Bruins

Three goals on 84 shots at 3.6 per cent — the 2nd percentile — and 1:49 a night shorthanded on the sixth-best penalty kill in hockey.

18

Tommy Novak

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing, only 279 five-on-five minutes. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

C · Nashville Predators

Twenty-seven games at 25, and a top shot speed among the ten softest in the tracking file — off twenty-five shots.

93

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

C · Edmonton Oilers

Forty-six per cent of his points came on the power play — the 4th-highest of the 393 qualified forwards — on a 46.3 per cent chance share.

25

Darnell Nurse

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

D · Edmonton Oilers

Twenty-five minutes a night, the 13th-most shots per 60 of the 202 qualified defencemen, and the 10th-worst penalty ledger.

88

William Nylander

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

RW · Toronto Maple Leafs

The 14th-fewest hits of all 393 forwards, and 39 per cent of his points on the power play.

14

Gustav Nyquist

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

RW · Columbus Blue Jackets

Fifty-three points on five shots per 60 — the 11th percentile in volume and the 79th in conversion.

38

Liam O'Brien

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing, only 364 five-on-five minutes. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

C · Arizona Coyotes

One hundred and six penalty minutes in 39 games, and a 35.7 per cent chance share — the lowest figure on the roster.

18

Drew O'Connor

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing, only 209 five-on-five minutes. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

LW · Pittsburgh Penguins

Two hundred and nine minutes of five-on-five ice, and not one of the figures in it can be trusted.

25

Logan O'Connor

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

RW · Colorado Avalanche

Undrafted, a 23.7 mph top speed at the 98th percentile, penalties drawn at the 92nd — and 37.5 per cent of the chances beside Alex Newhook.

90

Ryan O'Reilly

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

C · St. Louis Blues

The 15th-best penalty differential of 393 forwards, at 31, on the 87th-percentile penalty-kill workload.

82

Jordan Oesterle

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

D · Detroit Red Wings

No penalties drawn in 45 games and the 3rd-fewest taken of the 202 qualified defencemen — the quietest season on this blue line.

29

Jake Oettinger

Evidence behind this report: No record. No five-on-five record — Oettinger did not play a measured season. Everything on the page is an older line and a judgment.

G · Dallas Stars

A .9144 in 48 games and a .9544 across seven playoff games against Calgary — 272 saves on 285 shots.

8

Kyle Okposo

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

RW · Buffalo Sabres

Twenty-one goals at thirty-four from a median of 32 feet, on the lowest chance share of any Buffalo forward who played a full season.

4

Jamie Oleksiak

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

D · Seattle Kraken

The 2nd-highest slot share of 202 defencemen at 6-7 and 252 pounds — and one goal on ninety-five attempts.

95

Victor Olofsson

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

RW · Buffalo Sabres

Twenty goals from a median of 35 feet with 25 per cent of his attempts in the slot — the most perimeter shot chart of any forward in the league.

9

Dmitry Orlov

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

D · Washington Capitals

The 4th-hardest shot of 192 defencemen at 5-11, and a plus-25 with a surplus at both ends.

77

T.J. Oshie

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

RW · Washington Capitals

The 8th-best penalty differential of 393 forwards, and forty per cent of his points on the power play.

8

Alex Ovechkin

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

LW · Washington Capitals

The longest median shot distance of all 393 forwards, the most power-play ice, and fifty goals at 36.

67

Max Pacioretty

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

LW · Carolina Hurricanes

Nineteen goals in 39 games at thirty-three, traded to Carolina for nothing in July, and an Achilles tendon torn in August.

44

Jean-Gabriel Pageau

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

C · New York Islanders

The 41st-heaviest penalty-killing load of 393 forwards, sixteen career short-handed goals, and the 45th-lowest attempt share.

81

Ondrej Palat

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

LW · New Jersey Devils

A seventh-round pick with a career plus-147, arriving off nine straight seasons in Tampa.

21

Kyle Palmieri

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

C · New York Islanders

Forty-two per cent of the attempts away from Adam Pelech and 61.8 per cent alongside him, on the 6th-percentile takeaway rate.

10

Artemi Panarin

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

LW · New York Rangers

Seventy-four assists — 4th among all skaters — from an undrafted 176-pound winger with the 4th-lowest slot share of 393 forwards.

55

Colton Parayko

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

D · St. Louis Blues

The hardest shot of all 192 defencemen, and the 8th-percentile attempt share on the biggest workload on the club.

9

Zach Parise

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

LW · New York Islanders

Eighty-two games at 38, from the 3rd-oldest skater in this book, with the 9th-shortest median shot distance of 393 forwards.

88

David Pastrnak

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

RW · Boston Bruins

Forty goals off 13.97 shots per 60 — the highest rate in the league — with a 100.2 mph release and only 30 per cent of it from the slot.

20

Nick Paul

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

LW · Tampa Bay Lightning

The 13th-most takeaways of 393 forwards and the 95th-percentile penalty-kill workload, at 6-4.

16

Joe Pavelski

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

C · Dallas Stars

Eighty-one points at 37, a career high in his sixteenth season, with the 7th-lowest top speed of the 365 forwards the tracking covers.

70

Tanner Pearson

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

LW · Vancouver Canucks

The 21st-least ground covered of 365 tracked forwards, and the 8th-percentile giveaway rate.

25

Lane Pederson

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing, only 296 five-on-five minutes. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

C · Vancouver Canucks

A 38.0 per cent chance share across twenty-nine games, and no goals from twenty-four shots.

26

Andrew Peeke

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

D · Columbus Blue Jackets

Eighty-two games at 21:29 with 3:13 shorthanded, and 43.7 per cent of the chances — the 7th percentile among defencemen.

3

Adam Pelech

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

D · New York Islanders

Eleven of the twelve forwards who played four hundred attempts beside him took a better share of the expected goals with him than without.

57

David Perron

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

LW · Detroit Red Wings

The 6th-lowest top speed of the 365 forwards the tracking covers, and the 5th-highest share of points on the power play of the 393 qualified.

CP

Corey Perry

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

RW · Tampa Bay Lightning

The 3rd-shortest median shot and the 5th-highest slot share of all 393 forwards, at 37.

22

Brett Pesce

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

D · Carolina Hurricanes

Two minutes forty-eight a night shorthanded at the 92nd percentile, 1.15 giveaways per 60 at the 10th, and 1.54 hits at the 7th.

40

Cal Petersen

Evidence behind this report: No record. No five-on-five record — Petersen did not play a measured season. Everything on the page is an older line and a judgment.

G · Los Angeles Kings

A .8952 in thirty-seven games — 47th of the 53 goaltenders who played twenty-five — behind the fifth-best possession club in the league.

24

Jacob Peterson

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

C · Dallas Stars

Twelve goals and five assists as a rookie at eleven minutes a night, and five of the twelve won the game.

2

Jeff Petry

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

D · Pittsburgh Penguins

The most giveaways per 60 of all 202 defencemen, and the 19th-hardest shot of 192.

40

Elias Pettersson

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

C · Vancouver Canucks

The 4th-best penalty differential of all 393 forwards, and thirty-two goals from a 30-foot median.

26

Marcus Pettersson

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

D · Pittsburgh Penguins

The 2nd-fewest giveaways per 60 of all 202 defencemen, at 6-5 and 174 pounds.

61

Michael Pezzetta

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing, only 391 five-on-five minutes. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

LW · Montreal Canadiens

The least ground covered of all 568 skaters who played forty games — 1.29 miles a night — in 7:50 of ice time.

7

Alex Pietrangelo

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

D · Vegas Golden Knights

The most takeaways per 60 of all 202 qualified defencemen, at 24:39 a night.

4

Neal Pionk

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

D · Winnipeg Jets

Three goals from 140 shots, and six fewer against on his ice than the model asked.

20

Rem Pitlick

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

C · Montreal Canadiens

The 6th-fewest shots per 60 of 393 forwards, the 3rd-largest slot share, the 4th-shortest median distance and the 4th-highest shooting percentage.

19

Tyler Pitlick

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing, only 410 five-on-five minutes. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

C · St. Louis Blues

Five points in thirty-nine games at 10:56 a night, and St Louis is his seventh organisation.

92

Vasily Podkolzin

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

RW · Vancouver Canucks

Fourteen goals in a first NHL season at 12:48 a night, from the tenth pick of a draft.

25

Ryan Poehling

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

C · Pittsburgh Penguins

The 91st-percentile sprint count and the 95th-percentile distance, on the 14th-percentile attempt share.

21

Brayden Point

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

C · Tampa Bay Lightning

The 6th-highest slot share of 393 forwards and the 10th-most sprints of 365, at 5-11 and 177 pounds.

TP

Tucker Poolman

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

D · Vancouver Canucks

The 95th-percentile block rate, the 6th-fewest penalties taken of 202 defencemen, and three points in forty games.

55

Cayden Primeau

Evidence behind this report: No record. No five-on-five record — Primeau did not play a measured season. Everything on the page is an older line and a judgment.

G · Montreal Canadiens

Eighteen NHL games at .8737 across three seasons, from the 199th pick of 2017.

50

Ivan Prosvetov

Evidence behind this report: No record. No five-on-five record — Prosvetov did not play a measured season. Everything on the page is an older line and a judgment.

G · Arizona Coyotes

A 6-5 fourth-round goaltender with six NHL games, an .8581 across them, and a clear run at a backup job nobody else wants.

21

Aliaksei Protas

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing, only 371 five-on-five minutes. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

LW · Washington Capitals

Eighty per cent of his attempts from inside twenty feet, and no penalty minutes in thirty-three games.