Armchair Hockey Scout

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2022-23 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2022-23 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

95

Ilya Mikheyev

Vancouver Canucks Right Wing

The 11th-most sprints of 365 tracked forwards, undrafted, with four short-handed goals in fifty-three games.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2019-20TOR3981523+74011988.215:35
2020-21TOR5471017+560021076.514:13
2021-22TOR53211132+162644414714.315:16
2022-23 so far—————————————
Career—146363672+283645735210.214:58

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

53 games for Toronto, 21 goals and 11 assists at 15:16 a night, plus-16, twenty-six penalty minutes, 147 shots. Four of the twenty-one came on the power play and four short-handed. Undrafted, and 146 NHL games and seventy-two points across three seasons out of it.

The Finesse Game

Four short-handed goals in fifty-three games, which is the loudest single line in the file. He scored as many short-handed as on the power play.

10.91 shots per 60 is the 95th percentile among the 393 forwards who played forty games, at 14.3 per cent, from a 19-foot median at the 15th percentile with fifty-seven per cent from the slot.

High volume from close range on a fifteen-minute shift.

56.2 per cent of the attempts is the 90th percentile and 55.9 per cent of the expected goals the 86th, out of 34.4 per cent offensive-zone starts, the 39th-lowest of the 652 skaters who took two hundred end-zone starts.

That is the report. A top-tenth possession share out of the thirty-ninth-hardest chair in hockey, on a club that finished 6th in attempt share — so the club helps and the chair does not.

The Physical Game

6-2 and 192 pounds, 3.86 hits per 60 at the 49th percentile, and twenty-six penalty minutes in fifty-three games.

The Intangibles

16.0 bursts over twenty miles an hour per 60 is the 11th-most of the 365 forwards the tracking covers, against a 23.4 mph top speed at the 93rd percentile.

Genuinely, measurably fast — and 9.72 miles per 60 at the 56th percentile, so the speed is used in bursts rather than spent covering ground.

His shot is 86.2 mph, the 23rd percentile, which is the one thing arguing against twenty-one goals repeating.

He is 28, undrafted, with seventy-two points in 146 games across three seasons and no season above fifty-three games. The speed, the sprint count, the shot volume, the hard chair and four short-handed goals are five real things. A soft shot, a 14.3 per cent conversion and 146 games in three years are the reasons to be careful with the price.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • hard-minutes· is started in his own end, against the other club's best

    34% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 7th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it

  • undrafteda strength· arrived without a pick attached

    “Undrafted, and 146 NHL games and seventy-two points across three seasons out of it.”

  • transitiona strength· carries it out; gains the line under control

    “16.0 bursts over twenty miles an hour per 60 is the 11th-most of the 365 forwards the tracking covers, against a 23.4 mph top speed at the 93rd percentile.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 674 minutes

Expected goals
55.9%
89th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
56.2%
92nd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 32 for, 24 against. Expected: 28.9 and 22.8.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
84th
Numbers
89th

The two rank him within 5 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 69 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 53 games

Top speed
23.4 mph
95th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0

Bursts over 20 mph
4.08 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.47 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
86.2 mph
45th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.1

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2021-22 with TOR · 674 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2021-22

The club
TOR took 54.8% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 55.9% — 1.1 above the club he did it on.
The role
Third line, 674 minutes at five-on-five — 30th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
David Kampf56.2%55.7%48.7%
TJ Brodie51.7%58.4%54.3%
Morgan Rielly48.4%60.4%53.9%

56.2% together, 55.7% for him apart and 48.7% for Kampf apart. Kampf was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Kampf than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

178 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 21 of them goals. His median goal came from 13 feet. 52% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 15% from beyond forty.