This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

Anthony Mantha

Thirty-seven games at 2.56 even-strength points per 60, and seven goals better than expectation on his ice.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2015-16	DET	10	2	1	3	-6	2	2	0	1	18	11.1	11:42
2016-17	DET	60	17	19	36	+10	53	1	0	3	133	12.8	15:54
2017-18	DET	80	24	24	48	-1	52	9	0	2	190	12.6	17:18
2018-19	DET	67	25	23	48	-8	30	7	0	1	198	12.6	17:50
2019-20	DET	43	16	22	38	-7	34	6	0	3	137	11.7	18:54
2020-21	DET/WSH	56	15	14	29	-14	25	3	0	0	138	10.9	18:08
2021-22	WSH	37	9	14	23	+4	14	0	0	0	82	11.0	15:10
2022-23 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	353	108	117	225	-22	210	28	0	10	896	12.0	17:06

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

37 games, 9 goals and 14 assists at 15:10 a night, plus-4, fourteen penalty minutes, 82 shots. Twentieth overall in 2013 by Detroit, seven seasons, 353 games, 225 points.

Five hundred and one minutes of five-on-five ice and thirty-seven games are both short of the gate this book uses, so what follows is described rather than ranked.

The Finesse Game

2.56 even-strength points per 60, which would be inside the top fifteen per cent of the qualified pool, off 8.77 shots per 60 at 11.0 per cent — from a 26-foot median with forty-eight per cent of his attempts from inside twenty feet.

Twenty-three points in thirty-seven games is a 51-point pace, and 225 points in 353 career games is close to the same rate.

52.7 per cent of the expected goals against 53.4 per cent of the attempts across 501 five-on-five minutes, out of 51.0 per cent offensive-zone starts — an even chair, and the best pair of shares any Washington forward produced who was not a 21-year-old on the fourth line.

His ice went 27-20 against an expectation of 19.91-17.87 — seven goals better than the model in front and two more against, on forty-seven goals, which is a quarter-season and stated as one.

The Physical Game

6-5 and 240 pounds — the 7th-heaviest man in this edition — and fourteen penalty minutes in thirty-seven games.

4.92 hits per 60 and 1.92 blocks, both middling and both low for that frame, against 0.43 penalties drawn per 60 and 0.75 taken.

210 penalty minutes across 353 career games.

The Intangibles

22.9 mph and 7.80 bursts over twenty miles an hour per 60, both drawn from thirty-seven games, and 9.69 miles per 60. His shot is 95.6 mph, which for a 240-pound winger is where it should be.

He is 28, twentieth overall in 2013, with 108 goals in 353 games and a career minus-22. Forty-five games lost is the fourth season in five he has missed at least fifteen, and that is the file: the rate is a top-six rate and the availability has never once been.

The shares, the point rate and the seven-goal surplus out of an even chair all say the same thing. Thirty-seven games says how much it was worth.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 501 minutes

Expected goals: 52.7%; 75th pct
Shot attempts: 53.4%; 80th pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 27 for, 20 against. Expected: 19.9 and 17.9.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight

Report

84th

Numbers

75th

The two rank him within 9 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 69 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 37 games

Top speed: 22.9 mph; 86th pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 1.97 a game
Distance: 2.45 miles a game
Hardest shot: 95.5 mph; 92nd pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2021-22 · 491 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2021-22

The club: WSH took 51.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 52.7% — 1.6 above the club he did it on.
The role: Fourth line, 501 minutes at five-on-five — 18th percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
T.J. Oshie	49.5%	55.0%	51.3%
Nicklas Backstrom	43.3%	58.5%	46.5%
Justin Schultz	45.8%	56.7%	52.8%

49.5% together, 55.0% for him apart and 51.3% for Oshie apart. He was better away from Oshie, who was no worse away from him — the pairing cost him more than it cost Oshie.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

103 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 10 of them goals. His median goal came from 12 feet. 38% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 22% from beyond forty.