Armchair Hockey Scout

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2022-23 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2022-23 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2024-25 report →

15

Sonny Milano

Washington Capitals Left Wing

The 13th-shortest median shot of 393 forwards and the 21st-softest of 365.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2015-16CBJ3011+1000020.013:23
2016-17CBJ4000-3000020.011:41
2017-18CBJ5514822-8100036920.311:39
2018-19CBJ810100000520.08:19
2019-20CBJ/ANA5571623-726102759.313:06
2020-21ANA60000000080.014:44
2021-22ANA66142034-9105039414.915:17
2022-23 so far—————————————
Career—197364581-264660825514.113:16

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

66 games for Anaheim, 14 goals and 20 assists at 15:17 a night, minus-9, ten penalty minutes, 94 shots, five power-play goals and three game-winners. Sixteenth overall in 2014 by Columbus, seven seasons, 197 games, 81 points.

The Finesse Game

Sixty-seven per cent of his attempts came from inside twenty feet at a 17-foot median, the 13th-shortest of the 393 forwards who played forty games.

Fourteen goals from ninety-four shots is 14.9 per cent, the 80th percentile, off 5.59 shots per 60 at the 19th — low volume from very close range, which is the only way a shot this soft produces fourteen.

1.66 even-strength points per 60 is the 41st percentile and twenty-nine per cent of his points came on the power play, off 2:08 a night.

53.0 per cent of the expected goals is the 73rd percentile and 52.1 per cent of the attempts the 70th, out of 71.2 per cent offensive-zone starts — the 6th-highest of the 652 skaters who took two hundred end-zone starts. The shares are good and the chair is the sixth-softest in hockey, and both facts have to be read together.

His ice went 33-35 against an expectation of 37.46-33.25 — four and a half short in front and nearly two more against.

The Physical Game

6-0 and 205 pounds, and ten penalty minutes in sixty-six games.

1.61 hits per 60 is the 13th percentile and 0.89 blocks the 11th — both near the bottom of the league — and 0.36 penalties drawn per 60 is the 8th percentile against 0.30 taken at the 10th.

Almost nothing happens to him and almost nothing happens because of him.

The Intangibles

His shot is 82.5 mph, the 21st-softest of the 365 tracked forwards.

22.1 mph is the 28th percentile, 6.0 bursts over twenty miles an hour per 60 the 61st and 9.43 miles per 60 the 32nd.

He is 26, sixteenth overall in 2014, with eighty-one points in 197 games across seven seasons and three organisations. The shot chart and the possession shares are the case for a middle-six look and both come off the sixth-softest deployment in the league. A hundred and ninety-seven games in seven years is what four clubs have concluded so far.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • slot-man· shoots from where goals are scored

    66.7% of his attempts in the slot, 95th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.69) · 44% keep it

  • disciplined· stays out of the box

    0.15 penalty minutes a game over 66, 9th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.75) · 35% keep it

  • drives-play· the shot clock turns his way while he is out there

    53.0% of the expected goals at five-on-five with him on, 46.7% for his club in the minutes he sat: +6.3, 93rd percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats moderately (0.39) · 29% keep it

  • sheltered· is started in the attacking end

    71% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 99th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 47% keep it

  • net-fronta strength· lives in the blue paint; the screens and the tips

    “Sixty-seven per cent of his attempts came from inside twenty feet at a 17-foot median, the 13th-shortest of the 393 forwards who played forty games.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 847 minutes

Expected goals
53%
76th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
52.1%
73rd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 33 for, 35 against. Expected: 37.5 and 33.3.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
33rd
Numbers
76th

The numbers rank him 43 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 57 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 66 games

Top speed
22.1 mph
47th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0

Bursts over 20 mph
1.53 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.40 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
82.5 mph
28th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.1

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2021-22 with ANA · 847 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2021-22

The club
ANA took 48.0% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 53.0% — 5.0 above the club he did it on.
The role
Second line, 847 minutes at five-on-five — 45th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Trevor Zegras54.1%51.2%50.4%
Jamie Drysdale54.2%52.3%45.9%
Rickard Rakell60.6%48.5%50.2%

54.1% together, 51.2% for him apart and 50.4% for Zegras apart. Zegras was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Zegras than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

141 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 14 of them goals. His median goal came from 10 feet. 59% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 19% from beyond forty.