Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2022-23 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2022-23 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.
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20

Jayson Megna

Colorado Avalanche Center

Twenty games, three assists, and 148 NHL games spread across eight seasons.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2013-14PIT36549+160023613.910:29
2014-15PIT12011-214000130.011:02
2015-16NYR6112-12000911.112:15
2016-17VAN58448-46000725.612:26
2017-18VAN1000000000—4:18
2019-20COL8000-1200040.06:43
2020-21COL7022+20000120.010:15
2021-22COL20033-24000190.010:18
2022-23 so far—————————————
Career—148101525-7340021656.111:05

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

0 goals and 3 assists in 20 games — 3 points at 10:18 a night, minus-2, with 4 penalty minutes.

Twenty games at ten minutes a night, and the on-ice record is too thin for this book to print a five-on-five share for him.

Nineteen shots and no goals. Twenty-five points in 148 career NHL games.

The Finesse Game

There is nothing here that measures. His top shot speed was 80.5 mph, which is at the very bottom of the league’s range for a forward, and 19 attempts is not a sample of anything.

Ten goals in 148 games across eight seasons is the record, and it is the record of an American League scorer who has never translated.

The Physical Game

6-0 and 190. 23.3 mph is a high top speed and 2.9 bursts over 20 mph a game is a high rate for a man who played twenty games — a top speed is a season best, and twenty games is a quarter of the chances at one, which makes the reading conservative rather than generous.

1.70 miles a game is the workload of a thirteenth forward.

The Intangibles

Undrafted out of Nebraska-Omaha, and 148 NHL games at 32 across five clubs.

He has been a call-up for eight years. Colorado has four bottom-six jobs open on a Stanley Cup roster, and a fast thirty-two-year-old on a two-way deal is the cheapest way to fill the thirteenth-forward slot while the club works out who it actually wants.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • ordinaryraised, and called ordinary

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • undraftedpresent and ordinary· arrived without a pick attached

    “Undrafted out of Nebraska-Omaha, and 148 NHL games at 32 across five clubs.”

The numbers underneath

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 20 games

Top speed
23.3 mph
95th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0

Bursts over 20 mph
2.85 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
1.70 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
80.5 mph
22nd pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.1

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2021-22 · 195 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

23 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 0 of them goals. 30% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 22% from beyond forty.