Armchair Hockey Scout

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2022-23 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2022-23 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

6

John Marino

New Jersey Devils Defense

One goal on ninety shots at 20:38 a night, with the 95th-percentile penalty ledger and the 88th for takeaways.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2019-20PIT5662026+1720100619.820:15
2020-21PIT5231013+58101565.420:44
2021-22PIT8112425+123000901.120:38
2022-23 so far—————————————
Career—189105464+23512012074.820:33

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

1 goal and 24 assists in eighty-one games for Pittsburgh at 20:38 a night, plus-1, twenty-three penalty minutes. One hundred and fifty-fourth overall in 2015, three seasons, 189 games, 64 points, a career plus-23.

One goal on ninety shots is 1.1 per cent, the 6th percentile among defencemen.

The Finesse Game

0.90 even-strength points per 60 is the 43rd percentile and eight per cent of his points came on the power play. 3.23 shots per 60 is the 17th percentile — he does not shoot, and when he does it goes nowhere, on 97.7 mph, the 78th percentile. The tool is there and unused.

1.54 takeaways per 60 is the 88th percentile among defencemen against 1.26 giveaways at the 19th. That is one of the better puck-safety lines at the position and it is the case for him.

51.7 per cent of the expected goals is the 63rd percentile and 51.7 per cent of the attempts the 69th, with 45.9 per cent of his end-zone starts in the attacking end — slightly hard, which makes the shares slightly better than they look. Those were Pittsburgh’s minutes.

The Physical Game

2.62 hits per 60 is the 27th percentile and 3.16 blocks the 15th. He does neither, at twenty-one minutes a night.

0.36 penalties taken per 60 is the 16th percentile against 0.61 drawn, a 95th-percentile net from a defenceman playing twenty-one minutes. Almost nobody at his position wins the officiating exchange by that much.

The Intangibles

22.7 mph is the 89th percentile and 2.7 bursts over 20 mph per 60 the 81st, at 8.22 miles per 60, the 24th. Quick and covering little ground — the same shape as Nico Hischier on the forward side.

He is 25, right-handed, and arrives into a defence corps that has lost P.K. Subban and Ty Smith. A defenceman who never takes penalties, never gives the puck away and never scores is a specific and undervalued thing, and the one column that would make him more — the shot — he does not use.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    81 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • defends-with-reacha strength· takes the puck before the contact happens

    “0.36 penalties taken per 60 is the 16th percentile against 0.61 drawn, a 95th-percentile net from a defenceman playing twenty-one minutes.”

  • defensively-responsiblea strength· comes back; can be trusted with a lead

    “1.54 takeaways per 60 is the 88th percentile among defencemen against 1.26 giveaways at the 19th.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 1,403 minutes

Expected goals
51.7%
67th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
51.7%
71st pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 48 for, 46 against. Expected: 54.6 and 50.9.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
48th
Numbers
67th

The two rank him within 19 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 60 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 81 games

Top speed
22.7 mph
92nd pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.5

Bursts over 20 mph
0.93 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.83 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
97.7 mph
85th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 90.4

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2021-22 with PIT · 1403 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2021-22

The club
PIT took 53.5% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 51.7% — 1.8 below the club he did it on.
The role
Second pair, 1,403 minutes at five-on-five — 94th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Marcus Pettersson54.6%49.1%56.2%
Kasperi Kapanen56.0%50.3%52.5%
Jeff Carter54.0%51.0%47.3%

54.6% together, 49.1% for him apart and 56.2% for Pettersson apart. He was worse away from Pettersson, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Pettersson did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

125 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 1 of them goals. His median goal came from 15 feet. 9% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 71% from beyond forty.