This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2023-24 report →

Zach Parise

Eighty-two games at 38, from the 3rd-oldest skater in this book, with the 9th-shortest median shot distance of 393 forwards.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2005-06	NJD	81	14	18	32	-1	28	2	0	5	133	10.5	13:08
2006-07	NJD	82	31	31	62	-3	30	9	0	7	247	12.6	17:32
2007-08	NJD	81	32	33	65	+13	25	10	1	8	266	12.0	18:04
2008-09	NJD	82	45	49	94	+30	24	14	0	8	364	12.4	18:45
2009-10	NJD	81	38	44	82	+24	32	9	1	5	347	10.9	19:46
2010-11	NJD	13	3	3	6	-1	6	0	0	1	49	6.1	19:51
2011-12	NJD	82	31	38	69	-5	32	7	3	3	293	10.6	21:29
2012-13	MIN	48	18	20	38	+2	16	7	0	4	182	9.9	20:40
2013-14	MIN	67	29	27	56	+10	30	14	1	5	245	11.8	20:26
2014-15	MIN	74	33	29	62	+21	41	11	0	3	259	12.7	19:11
2015-16	MIN	70	25	28	53	-3	36	7	0	7	234	10.7	19:18
2016-17	MIN	69	19	23	42	-3	30	6	0	4	194	9.8	17:26
2017-18	MIN	42	15	9	24	0	14	2	0	4	119	12.6	17:05
2018-19	MIN	74	28	33	61	-2	26	10	0	5	229	12.2	18:40
2019-20	MIN	69	25	21	46	-11	8	12	1	4	155	16.1	17:12
2020-21	MIN	45	7	11	18	+7	6	0	0	3	90	7.8	13:57
2021-22	NYI	82	15	20	35	-2	28	2	2	4	138	10.9	15:17
2022-23 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	1142	408	437	845	+76	412	122	9	80	3544	11.5	18:04

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

82 games, 15 goals and 20 assists for 35 points at 15:17 a night, minus-2, twenty-eight penalty minutes, 138 shots. Seventeenth overall in 2003 by New Jersey, seventeen seasons, 1,142 games, 408 goals, 845 points.

He played all eighty-two. He is the 3rd-oldest skater in this book, behind Mark Giordano and Joe Pavelski.

The Finesse Game

Sixty-four per cent of his shots came from the slot at an 18-foot median — the 90th and 9th percentiles, at 5-11 and 195 pounds in his seventeenth season.

1.56 even-strength points per 60 is the 35th percentile and twenty per cent of his points came on the power play. 6.61 shots per 60 is the 35th percentile at 10.9 per cent, against a career rate of 11.5 across 3,544 shots.

Nothing about the shooting has moved. The volume is down and the places are the same ones he has taken his whole career.

49.5 per cent of the expected goals is the 49th percentile — joint-2nd among Islander forwards, behind only Oliver Wahlstrom — out of 53.0 per cent offensive-zone starts, the 241st-highest of 652 skaters. His ice went 38-36 against an expectation of 42.85-43.73.

The Physical Game

2.73 blocks per 60 is the 88th percentile among forwards, from a 38-year-old winger who played all eighty-two games.

2.87 hits per 60 is the 35th percentile. Twenty-eight penalty minutes in eighty-two games, and 1:31 short-handed a night at the 73rd percentile.

The Intangibles

22.1 mph is the 29th percentile, 4.8 bursts per 60 the 46th, 9.62 miles per 60 the 47th. Every one of those is ordinary, and ordinary at 38 in a league whose average forward is a decade younger is the finding.

Eighty-two games, 1,142 for a career, 408 goals. He is a fourth-line winger now by ice time and a top-six one by chance share, and the gap between those two facts is the most interesting thing in the file.

Nothing here measures what seventeen seasons have taken. What it measures is that he covered an ordinary amount of ground, blocked at the 88th percentile, shot from the same eighteen feet he always has, and did not miss a game.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

slot-man· shoots from where goals are scored
64.1% of his attempts in the slot, 90th percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.69) · 44% keep it
durable· was available
82 of 82 games
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it
net-fronta strength· lives in the blue paint; the screens and the tips
“Sixty-four per cent of his shots came from the slot at an 18-foot median — the 90th and 9th percentiles, at 5-11 and 195 pounds in his seventeenth season.”
shot-blockera strength· gets in front of it
“2.73 blocks per 60 is the 88th percentile among forwards, from a 38-year-old winger who played all eighty-two games.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 1,012 minutes

Expected goals: 49.5%; 53rd pct
Shot attempts: 47.6%; 34th pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 38 for, 36 against. Expected: 42.9 and 43.7.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight

Report

48th

Numbers

53rd

The two rank him within 5 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 60 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 82 games

Top speed: 22.1 mph; 48th pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 1.23 a game
Distance: 2.45 miles a game
Hardest shot: 88.0 mph; 54th pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2021-22 · 1001 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2021-22

The club: NYI took 46.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 49.5% — 2.6 above the club he did it on.
The role: Third line, 1,012 minutes at five-on-five — 63rd percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Mathew Barzal	47.1%	51.9%	49.0%
Oliver Wahlstrom	54.2%	45.6%	46.2%
Jean-Gabriel Pageau	50.7%	48.9%	44.7%

47.1% together, 51.9% for him apart and 49.0% for Barzal apart. He was better away from Barzal, who was no worse away from him — the pairing cost him more than it cost Barzal.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

181 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 15 of them goals. His median goal came from 13 feet. 55% of his shots came from inside twenty feet.