This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Vasily Podkolzin
Vancouver Canucks Right Wing
Fourteen goals in a first NHL season at 12:48 a night, from the tenth pick of a draft.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-22 | VAN | 79 | 14 | 12 | 26 | +7 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 115 | 12.2 | 12:48 |
| 2022-23 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 79 | 14 | 12 | 26 | +7 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 115 | 12.2 | 12:48 |
This Season So Far
The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
79 games, 14 goals and 12 assists at 12:48 a night, plus-7, twenty-six penalty minutes, 115 shots. Two of the fourteen came on the power play. Tenth overall in 2019 by Vancouver, one season, 79 games, 26 points.
The Finesse Game
Twelve minutes and forty-eight seconds a night is the 21st percentile among the 393 forwards who played forty games, and fourteen goals came out of it in a first season.
6.83 shots per 60 is the 42nd percentile at 12.2 per cent, from a 22-foot median with fifty-three per cent of his attempts from the slot. He shoots from the right places and does not shoot often.
1.45 even-strength points per 60 is the 29th percentile and twelve per cent of his points came on the power play off thirty-nine seconds a night.
48.9 per cent of the expected goals is the 44th percentile and 49.9 per cent of the attempts the 50th, out of 55.1 per cent offensive-zone starts, the 183rd-highest of the 652 skaters who took two hundred end-zone starts — a mildly soft chair, and level shares out of it for a 20-year-old.
1.07 giveaways per 60 is the 21st percentile.
The Physical Game
6-1 and 190 pounds, 4.99 hits per 60 at the 61st percentile, and twenty-six penalty minutes in seventy-nine games.
The Intangibles
8.1 bursts over twenty miles an hour per 60 is the 78th percentile among forwards against a 22.1 mph top speed at the 28th and 9.74 miles per 60 at the 57th.
Above twenty miles an hour often and not much past it. For a 20-year-old that is the most encouraging shape the tracking can show — the sprint count is a habit and the top end is the thing that develops.
His shot is 89.6 mph, the 47th percentile.
He is 21, tenth overall in 2019, with twenty-six points in seventy-nine games. Seventy-nine games, fourteen goals, level possession shares and an ordinary chair in a first NHL season at 20 is a good year and nothing more than that yet. The scoring rate is a fourth line’s and the shot volume is low, and one season settles neither.
What kind of player
The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.
- measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.
- durable· was available
79 of 82 games
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 951 minutes
- Expected goals
- 48.9%
- 47th pct
- Shot attempts
- 49.9%
- 55th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 40 for, 30 against. Expected: 37.5 and 39.1.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe report ranks him 31 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.
Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 67 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Tracked
NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 79 games
- Top speed
- 22.1 mph
- 47th pct
- Bursts over 20 mph
- 1.73 a game
- Distance
- 2.08 miles a game
- Hardest shot
- 89.6 mph
- 64th pct
fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0
how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes
skated, all strengths
one shot; the league's average best is 84.1
A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.
Usual linemates
2021-22 · 951 minutes at five-on-five
- J.T. Miller22%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2021-22
- The club
- VAN took 49.0% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 48.9% — 0.1 below the club he did it on.
- The role
- First line, 951 minutes at five-on-five — 56th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Myers | 53.5% | 46.3% | 48.4% |
| Quinn Hughes | 50.0% | 48.3% | 50.1% |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 51.4% | 47.7% | 49.3% |
53.5% together, 46.3% for him apart and 48.4% for Myers apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
148 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 14 of them goals. His median goal came from 22 feet. 43% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 16% from beyond forty.