This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Josh Norris
Ottawa Senators Center
Sixteen power-play goals — tied 3rd in the league — on the 98th-percentile shooting rate, in sixty-six games.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-20 | OTT | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0.0 | 17:55 |
| 2020-21 | OTT | 56 | 17 | 18 | 35 | -12 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 96 | 17.7 | 16:28 |
| 2021-22 | OTT | 66 | 35 | 20 | 55 | -7 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 8 | 172 | 20.3 | 18:35 |
| 2022-23 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 125 | 52 | 38 | 90 | -17 | 29 | 22 | 0 | 10 | 277 | 18.8 | 17:37 |
This Season So Far
The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
66 games, 35 goals and 20 assists for 55 points at 18:35 a night, minus-7, sixteen penalty minutes, 172 shots. Nineteenth overall in 2017 by San Jose, three seasons, 125 games, 90 points.
Sixteen power-play goals is tied 3rd in the league, behind Chris Kreider’s 26 and Leon Draisaitl’s 24 — in sixty-six games.
The Finesse Game
20.3 per cent shooting is the 98th percentile among forwards. Thirty-five goals came off 172 shots. His career rate across 277 shots is 18.8 per cent, which is a short record and an extreme one.
Forty-two per cent of his points came on the power play, the 97th percentile, from 3:14 a night. 1.97 even-strength points per 60 is the 61st.
8.42 shots per 60 is the 67th percentile, from a 28-foot median with forty-one per cent from the slot — the 80th and 15th percentiles. He shoots from further out than a man converting at twenty per cent normally does, on 95.3 mph at the 85th.
1.17 takeaways per 60 is the 19th percentile.
48.4 per cent of the expected goals and 49.9 per cent of the attempts, out of 59.4 per cent offensive-zone starts, the 61st-highest of 652 skaters.
His ice went 45-41 against an expectation of 38.25-40.83 — seven goals of surplus going forward.
The Physical Game
3.87 hits per 60 is the 50th percentile and 2.15 blocks the 75th at 6-2 and 196.
0.39 penalties taken per 60 is the 20th percentile against 0.88 drawn, and sixteen penalty minutes came out of sixty-six games — the 86th-percentile net.
The Intangibles
23.1 mph is the 87th percentile among forwards and 9.3 bursts over 20 mph per 60 the 85th, at 6-2 and 196 pounds. 9.40 miles per 60 is only the 29th — quick and sprinting often, covering little ground.
He is 23 with 52 goals in 125 NHL games, and missed sixteen games last season.
Twenty per cent shooting from twenty-eight feet on a club that finished 26th is the single most fragile number in this chapter. The skating, the shot speed and the power-play production are the parts that will still be there when it falls.
What kind of player
The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.
- a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.
“23.1 mph is the 87th percentile among forwards and 9.3 bursts over 20 mph per 60 the 85th, at 6-2 and 196 pounds.”
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 911 minutes
- Expected goals
- 48.4%
- 42nd pct
- Shot attempts
- 49.9%
- 55th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 45 for, 41 against. Expected: 38.3 and 40.8.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe report ranks him 36 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.
Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 67 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Tracked
NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 66 games
- Top speed
- 23.1 mph
- 91st pct
- Bursts over 20 mph
- 2.89 a game
- Distance
- 2.91 miles a game
- Hardest shot
- 95.3 mph
- 91st pct
fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0
how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes
skated, all strengths
one shot; the league's average best is 84.1
A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.
Usual linemates
2021-22 · 911 minutes at five-on-five
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2021-22
- The club
- OTT took 47.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 48.4% — 1.3 above the club he did it on.
- The role
- Second line, 911 minutes at five-on-five — 51st percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brady Tkachuk | 50.1% | 39.2% | 47.1% |
| Drake Batherson | 48.5% | 48.2% | 53.6% |
| Thomas Chabot | 47.7% | 48.9% | 49.5% |
50.1% together, 39.2% for him apart and 47.1% for Tkachuk apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
247 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 36 of them goals. His median goal came from 21 feet. 32% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 21% from beyond forty.