Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2022-23 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2022-23 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

10

Artemi Panarin

New York Rangers Left Wing

Seventy-four assists — 4th among all skaters — from an undrafted 176-pound winger with the 4th-lowest slot share of 393 forwards.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2015-16CHI80304777+83280718716.018:31
2016-17CHI82314374+182190521114.719:28
2017-18CBJ81275582+232670522811.820:08
2018-19CBJ79285987+142360819114.719:51
2019-20NYR69326395+362070420915.320:36
2020-21NYR42174158+14650110616.019:39
2021-22NYR75227496+211850517712.419:13
2022-23 so far—————————————
Career—508187382569+13414647035130914.319:37

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

75 games, 22 goals and 74 assists for 96 points at 19:13 a night, plus-21, eighteen penalty minutes, 177 shots. Undrafted, and 569 points in 508 NHL games out of it.

Seventy-four assists is 4th among all skaters in the league, behind Jonathan Huberdeau, Connor McDavid and Johnny Gaudreau.

The Finesse Game

Seventy-four assists against twenty-two goals is the 4th-most of any skater in the league, and 382 assists against 187 goals is the career.

2.91 even-strength points per 60 is the 92nd percentile and thirty-nine per cent of his points came on the power play at the 95th, from 2:59 a night.

Twenty-eight per cent of his shots came from the slot — the 4th-lowest share of the 393 qualified forwards — at a 32-foot median in the 96th percentile. He shoots from distance because the shot is not the plan; 7.37 shots per 60 is the 52nd percentile and 12.4 per cent went in.

2.96 giveaways per 60 is the 96th percentile against 2.33 takeaways at the 89th. He has the puck more than almost anybody and both halves of that ledger are large.

47.3 per cent of the expected goals is the 30th percentile. That is a startling figure beside 96 points and it is the club’s, not his alone: New York finished 25th in chance share. His ice went 56-38 against an expectation of 46.65-51.98 — ten goals of surplus going forward and fourteen fewer against than the model asked.

The Physical Game

0.92 hits per 60 is the 5th percentile and 0.58 blocks the 2nd, at 6-0 and 176 pounds.

0.21 penalties taken per 60 is the 4th percentile and eighteen penalty minutes came out of seventy-five games. There is no physical game here in any direction and none is asked for.

The Intangibles

22.3 mph is the 41st percentile, 3.2 bursts per 60 the 24th, 9.35 miles per 60 the 25th. Ordinary speed and below-average work, from the highest-scoring winger on a 110-point club.

He is 30, undrafted, and has scored between 58 and 96 points in every season he has played. The assist rate, the shot geography and the giveaway rate are the same three numbers he has produced for seven years. The chance share is the one that does not fit, and it belongs to the club more than the man.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • perimeter· shoots from the outside, by choice or because he cannot get in

    31.7% of his attempts from 40 feet or beyond, 95th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it

  • workhorse· carries the load at even strength

    15:26 a game at five-on-five, 96th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.78) · 58% keep it

  • playmakera strength· passes up the shot a scorer takes

    “Seventy-four assists against twenty-two goals is the 4th-most of any skater in the league, and 382 assists against 187 goals is the career.”

  • undrafteda strength· arrived without a pick attached

    “Undrafted, and 569 points in 508 NHL games out of it.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 1,158 minutes

Expected goals
47.3%
34th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
49%
45th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 56 for, 38 against. Expected: 46.6 and 52.0.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
67th
Numbers
34th

The report ranks him 33 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 64 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 75 games

Top speed
22.3 mph
57th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0

Bursts over 20 mph
1.04 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.99 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
91.2 mph
72nd pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.1

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2021-22 · 1158 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2021-22

The club
NYR took 46.7% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 47.3% — 0.6 above the club he did it on.
The role
First line, 1,158 minutes at five-on-five — 82nd percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Ryan Strome47.2%47.5%50.7%
Jacob Trouba50.5%45.2%46.4%
K'Andre Miller50.3%45.5%47.6%

47.2% together, 47.5% for him apart and 50.7% for Strome apart. Strome was better away from him while his own share held, which is a mark against him more than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

268 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 23 of them goals. His median goal came from 24 feet. 20% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 31% from beyond forty.