This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

Jean-Gabriel Pageau

The 41st-heaviest penalty-killing load of 393 forwards, sixteen career short-handed goals, and the 45th-lowest attempt share.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2012-13	OTT	9	2	2	4	+3	0	0	0	2	14	14.3	11:30
2013-14	OTT	28	2	0	2	-5	12	0	0	0	31	6.5	10:15
2014-15	OTT	50	10	9	19	+4	9	0	2	2	97	10.3	14:11
2015-16	OTT	82	19	24	43	+17	26	1	7	2	133	14.3	16:42
2016-17	OTT	82	12	21	33	+13	24	0	0	2	169	7.1	16:08
2017-18	OTT	78	14	15	29	-14	36	1	1	2	147	9.5	16:44
2018-19	OTT	39	4	8	12	-12	14	0	0	0	83	4.8	17:51
2019-20	OTT/NYI	67	26	16	42	+4	49	5	3	5	151	17.2	19:10
2020-21	NYI	54	14	14	28	+10	10	5	2	3	81	17.3	16:47
2021-22	NYI	77	18	21	39	0	30	4	1	0	126	14.3	17:40
2022-23 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	566	121	130	251	+20	210	16	16	18	1032	11.7	16:31

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

77 games, 18 goals and 21 assists for 39 points at 17:40 a night, even, thirty penalty minutes, 126 shots. Ninety-sixth overall in 2011 by Ottawa, ten seasons, 566 games, 251 points.

The Finesse Game

1:55 short-handed a night is the 41st-most of the 393 forwards who played forty games, and sixteen of his 121 career goals have come a man short.

5.56 shots per 60 is the 18th percentile at 14.3 per cent, sixty-one per cent from the slot at a 21-foot median. Low volume, good locations, an above-average rate — the same shape he has always had.

1.59 even-strength points per 60 is the 38th percentile and eighteen per cent of his points came on the power play, where he takes 2:04.

46.8 per cent of the expected goals is the 23rd percentile and 44.8 per cent of the attempts the 45th-lowest of 393, from 38.3 per cent offensive-zone starts, the 64th-lowest of the 652 skaters who took two hundred end-zone starts. That is a genuinely hard chair.

His ice went 37-32 against an expectation of 36.89-41.92 — goals for at the model and ten fewer against than it asked.

The Physical Game

7.54 hits per 60 is the 79th percentile and 2.34 blocks the 79th at 5-11 and 180 pounds. Both figures are well above what the size predicts, and they are how a small centre holds a checking assignment.

0.71 penalties drawn per 60 against 0.53 taken. Thirty penalty minutes in seventy-seven games.

The Intangibles

22.6 mph is the 59th percentile, 5.8 bursts per 60 the 57th, 9.42 miles per 60 the 31st. Ordinary speed, ordinary sprinting, below-average ground covered.

He is 29, a fourth-round pick with 566 NHL games. The penalty kill, the hits at 180 pounds and the buried chair are the job, and the ten goals his ice saved against the model are the return on it. The attempt share is what a man in that chair looks like, and thirty-nine points is more than it usually pays.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

penalty-killera strength· trusted a man short
“1:55 short-handed a night is the 41st-most of the 393 forwards who played forty games, and sixteen of his 121 career goals have come a man short.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 1,011 minutes

Expected goals: 46.8%; 29th pct
Shot attempts: 44.8%; 14th pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 37 for, 32 against. Expected: 36.9 and 41.9.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight

Report

70th

Numbers

29th

The report ranks him 41 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 65 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 77 games

Top speed: 22.6 mph; 72nd pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 1.71 a game
Distance: 2.78 miles a game
Hardest shot: 89.1 mph; 61st pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2021-22 · 999 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2021-22

The club: NYI took 46.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 46.8% — 0.1 below the club he did it on.
The role: Second line, 1,011 minutes at five-on-five — 63rd percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Kyle Palmieri	47.4%	46.4%	51.1%
Adam Pelech	48.6%	45.6%	52.4%
Zach Parise	50.7%	44.7%	48.9%

47.4% together, 46.4% for him apart and 51.1% for Palmieri apart. Palmieri was better away from him while his own share held, which is a mark against him more than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

165 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 18 of them goals. His median goal came from 14 feet. 47% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 16% from beyond forty.