Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2022-23 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2022-23 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Los Angeles Kings

Pacific Division, Western Conference · 24 reports in the 2022-23 edition.

This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read, written from that season alone. Read the 2026-27 club page →

The club

2021-22 · 82 games · 194 for, 204 against

How it played

Shot attempts share, five-on-five
54.1% 5th of 32
Expected goals share, five-on-five
52.8% 8th of 32
Power play expected goals per sixty
6.71 25th of 32
Penalty kill expected goals allowed per sixty
6.75 7th of 32

Where the record lies

Finishing goals scored above what the chances were worth
-26.9 32nd of 32
Goaltending goals prevented beyond what the chances allowed were worth
+10.7 7th of 32

Los Angeles Kings scored 26.9 fewer goals than their chances were worth but got 10.7 more saves than the chances they faced warranted — the two pull against each other, and both regress.

Roster shape

Points-weighted, so these are the ages and origins of the production rather than of the sweaters.

Average age
27.2
weighted by points
From 33 and up
13.8%
of skater points
From under 26
48.2%
of skater points
Homegrown
40.7%
drafted by this club
Continuity
83.6%
of last season's five-on-five minutes

The read

the numbers, and the eye

Ninety-nine points and the fifth-best attempt share in hockey, off the worst finishing in the league by six goals.

Who this names 10 of 24 on the roster · 56% of their five-on-five minutes details

Both columns above are searched, and a name counts on the same terms the page links it: in full always, by surname only when one man in the edition wears it. Nothing here says who ought to be named — only who was, so the weighting can be seen rather than guessed at.

Not named here: Lias Andersson, Quinton Byfield, Alexander Edler, Kevin Fiala, Carl Grundstrom, Alex Iafallo, Rasmus Kupari, Brendan Lemieux, Blake Lizotte, Cal Petersen, Jonathan Quick, Matt Roy, Jordan Spence, Gabriel Vilardi.

What the Quant Says

44-27-11, 99 points, 14th in the league, third in the Pacific behind Calgary's 111 and Edmonton's 104. 239 goals for, 20th; 236 against, 8th.

Fifth in the league in five-on-five attempt share at 54.1 per cent and eighth in chances at 52.8. By process this was a top-eight club.

And 32nd in the league in finishing at minus-26.9 goals. Their five-on-five goals came in 155-152 against an expectation of 181.9-162.7 — twenty-seven goals short of what the shots they generated were worth, and ten better than they deserved at the other end.

Goaltending rated 7th at plus-10.7. Neither special team was a strength or a problem: 16th on the power play, 17th on the kill.

Nothing here ran in their favour and one large thing ran against them, which is the rare shape that argues a 99-point club was better than its record.

What the Scout Says

The pair file runs this chapter. Anze Kopitar, at 35, was better away from every forward he played with, and most of them were worse away from him — Adrian Kempe took 52.5 per cent of the chances beside him and 47.3 without.

Drew Doughty is the other pole and he played thirty-nine games. Viktor Arvidsson read 65.3 per cent with him and 55.6 without; Phillip Danault 66.1 and 53.9; Trevor Moore 63.7 and 53.5; Mikey Anderson 57.7 beside him and 48.8 alone.

And Tobias Bjornfot is the drag, at 21, over 1,070 minutes. Moore took 40.8 per cent of the chances with him and 60.7 without — a twenty-point swing. Arvidsson, 47.6 and 61.6. Kempe, 41.7 and 54.7. Danault, 47.8 and 59.4. Kopitar, 45.5 and 56.1. Sean Durzi, stapled to him for 1,095 attempts, read 57.8 per cent away from him. Arthur Kaliyev is the only regular whose share does not move.

A club with a 35-year-old first-line centre, a 32-year-old first-pair defenceman who missed half the year, and eight hundred minutes to replace.

The roster

Evidence 0 Full 22 Light 2 No record

No measured season behind two of them: Cal Petersen and Jonathan Quick. Their pages carry an older stat line and a judgment, and nothing from 2021-22.

44

Mikey Anderson

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

D · Los Angeles Kings

Twenty minutes a night from a defenceman with the 9th-fewest sprints of 192, and the club’s best shares came beside Doughty.

24

Lias Andersson

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing, only 200 five-on-five minutes. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

C · Los Angeles Kings

Seventh overall in 2017, 109 NHL games, seventeen points — and the worst on-ice goal record of any King last season.

33

Viktor Arvidsson

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

LW · Los Angeles Kings

The 8th-most shots per 60 of 393 forwards and 58.3 per cent of the expected goals — the best on-ice share on the club, at 8.8 per cent shooting.

22

Tobias Bjornfot

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

D · Los Angeles Kings

A 21-year-old first-rounder who played 1,070 minutes, and almost every forward on the club took a worse share of the chances with him than without.

55

Quinton Byfield

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing, only 461 five-on-five minutes. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

RW · Los Angeles Kings

Second overall in 2020, 6-5 and 230, and forty-six NHL games at twenty with eleven points to show for them.

24

Phillip Danault

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

C · Los Angeles Kings

Twenty-seven goals from a checking centre, off the shortest median shot distance on the club and the best possession share among its forwards.

8

Drew Doughty

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

D · Los Angeles Kings

Thirty-nine games at 25:44, and three separate forwards took about ten points more of the chances with him than without him.

5

Sean Durzi

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

D · Los Angeles Kings

Twenty-seven points as a rookie with the 3rd-largest power-play share of 202 defencemen, and 1,095 attempts stapled to Tobias Bjornfot.

2

Alexander Edler

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

D · Los Angeles Kings

Thirty-six years old, the 10th-best even-strength scoring rate of 202 defencemen, and not one power-play point.

22

Kevin Fiala

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

LW · Los Angeles Kings

Eighty-five points and the 9th-best even-strength scoring rate of 393 forwards, arriving from Minnesota as the scorer this roster did not have.

91

Carl Grundstrom

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

RW · Los Angeles Kings

The 14th-most hits per 60 of 393 forwards and the 37th-most ground covered, in ten minutes and fifty-three seconds a night.

9

Alex Iafallo

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

LW · Los Angeles Kings

The 6th-fewest giveaways and the 9th-fewest penalties taken of 393 forwards, at 18:30 a night on both special teams.

34

Arthur Kaliyev

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

RW · Los Angeles Kings

The 12th-most shots per 60 of 393 forwards at 12:39 a night, off the 5th-percentile slot share and the hardest shot on the club.

9

Adrian Kempe

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

RW · Los Angeles Kings

Thirty-five goals from the 4th-fastest forward of 365, off the 8th-percentile slot share — and 47.3 per cent of the chances away from Kopitar.

11

Anze Kopitar

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

C · Los Angeles Kings

Sixteen seasons, 1,067 points, one club — and the pair file says he still made every forward he played with better than they were without him.

15

Rasmus Kupari

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

C · Los Angeles Kings

A first-round centre with the 7th-most sprints and the 10th-most ground covered of 365 forwards, and the 5th-percentile shot rate.

22

Brendan Lemieux

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

LW · Los Angeles Kings

The most penalties taken per 60 of all 393 qualified forwards, the 2nd-most drawn, and a top speed higher than Connor McDavid’s.

46

Blake Lizotte

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

C · Los Angeles Kings

Five-foot-nine, the 4th-percentile giveaway rate, and 56.9 per cent of the attempts with him on the ice — the 93rd percentile.

12

Trevor Moore

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

LW · Los Angeles Kings

Undrafted, tied for the NHL lead in short-handed goals, and the 7th-percentile giveaway rate among 393 forwards.

40

Cal Petersen

Evidence behind this report: No record. No five-on-five record — Petersen did not play a measured season. Everything on the page is an older line and a judgment.

G · Los Angeles Kings

A .8952 in thirty-seven games — 47th of the 53 goaltenders who played twenty-five — behind the fifth-best possession club in the league.

32

Jonathan Quick

Evidence behind this report: No record. No five-on-five record — Quick did not play a measured season. Everything on the page is an older line and a judgment.

G · Los Angeles Kings

Second in career wins, games and shutouts among the 72 goaltenders in this book, and 27th of the 53 who played twenty-five games last year.

3

Matt Roy

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

D · Los Angeles Kings

The 20th-most shots per 60 of 202 defencemen, two goals from them, and a plus-23 on the club with the league’s worst finishing.

10

Jordan Spence

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing, only 409 five-on-five minutes. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

D · Los Angeles Kings

Five-eleven and 188 pounds, born in Australia, and 19:45 a night in twenty-four games at 21 — the archetype worth watching here.

13

Gabriel Vilardi

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing, only 298 five-on-five minutes. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

C · Los Angeles Kings

Eleventh overall in 2017 and eighty-nine games in five years, with the shortest median shot distance on the club.

How they were used

2021-22 · 82 games

Measured from shift charts at five-on-five, not projected. Units are built from the strongest partnership outward and ordered by how much they were used; the percentage is the share of the first player’s five-on-five ice time spent alongside each linemate. A low number means the club never settled on a combination. Players who have gone are marked — either to another club, or off an NHL roster altogether, which covers retirement and an unsigned summer alike.

Forwards

First line

Fourth line

R Dustin Brown off the roster 800m

Defence

First pair

D Matt Roy 1167m
D Olli Maatta now DET 43%

Second pair

Third pair

Goaltending

By games played

G Garret Sparks off the roster 2 GP