Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2022-23 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2022-23 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2024-25 report →

29

Marc-Andre Fleury

Minnesota Wild Goaltender

The most career games, wins and shutouts of the 72 goaltenders in this book — 939, 520 and 71 — and a .9082 at 37.

SeasonTeamGPWLOTLGAGAASOSASV%
2003-04PIT214140703.641675.896
2005-06PIT50132761523.2511485.898
2006-07PIT67401691842.8351954.906
2007-08PIT3519102722.334909.921
2008-09PIT62351871622.6741850.912
2009-10PIT67372161682.6511772.905
2010-11PIT65362051432.3231742.918
2011-12PIT67421741532.3631768.913
2012-13PIT332380742.391881.916
2013-14PIT64391851502.3751774.915
2014-15PIT64342091462.32101831.920
2015-16PIT58351761322.2951665.921
2016-17PIT38181071073.0211181.909
2017-18VGK46291341002.2441376.927
2018-19VGK61352151522.5181745.913
2019-20VGK49271651332.7751399.905
2020-21VGK3626100711.986989.928
2021-22CHI/MIN56282351592.9041732.908
2022-23 so far——————————
Career—9395202998523282.577126728.913

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

56 games, 28-23-5, a .9082 save percentage and a 2.90 goals-against, four shutouts on 1,732 shots, split between Chicago and Minnesota. That save percentage is 28th of the 53 goaltenders who played twenty-five games.

He played eleven of them in Minnesota.

The Physical Game

939 career games, 520 wins, 71 shutouts — the most of all three among the 72 goaltenders in this book. Marc-Andre Fleury is first, and the man second in each of the three is Jonathan Quick, nearly two hundred games behind.

Eighteen seasons, 939 games and 26,728 shots faced, and he is still taking fifty-six starts at 37.

The Mental Game

Career .9129, and last season’s .9082 sits just under it. The season before, in Vegas, he posted .9282 across thirty-six games — the difference between those two years is a hundred and twenty starts of context and two different clubs, and the record cannot separate age from environment.

Minnesota rated 23rd in the league in goaltending at minus-13 goals saved below expectation, on a club that finished 5th in points. That is the one clear structural weakness in a 113-point season, and the club’s answer to it was to keep the 37-year-old and let both of the goaltenders who played most of the year leave.

The Intangibles

A club that finished first in the league in finishing at plus-49.1 and 23rd in goaltending has an obvious asymmetry, and it is now leaning harder on the half that was worse.

Nothing here measures positioning, glove or rebound control. What it measures is that the shots this club allowed were converted more often than the model expected, across every goaltender who faced them, which is a fact about the crease rather than about any one man in it.

He is 37, first in this book on the three counting statistics a career is remembered by, and being asked to carry more of a season than he has carried in five years.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • leadershipa strength· the room, and who holds it

    “Eighteen seasons, 939 games and 26,728 shots faced, and he is still taking fifty-six starts at 37.”