Armchair Hockey Scout

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2022-23 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2022-23 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

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44

Mikey Anderson

Los Angeles Kings Defense

Twenty minutes a night from a defenceman with the 9th-fewest sprints of 192, and the club’s best shares came beside Doughty.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2019-20LAK6101+40001911.118:09
2020-21LAK5411011030001521.921:11
2021-22LAK57268+68001583.520:07
2022-23 so far—————————————
Career—11741620+10380031193.420:30

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

57 games at 20:07 a night, two goals and six assists, plus-6, eight penalty minutes. Third season, 117 NHL games, 103rd pick of 2017.

The Finesse Game

He does not have one. 0.47 even-strength points per 60 is the 6th percentile and 3.03 shots per 60 is the 12th. No power-play points at all, off seven seconds a night with the extra man. Fifty-one-foot median, thirteen per cent from the slot: a defenceman who shoots when the shot is there and does not go looking.

54.0 per cent of the expected goals is the 83rd percentile and 54.2 per cent of the attempts the 85th — good numbers, and the pair file says where they came from. Beside Drew Doughty across 1,044 attempts he was at 57.7 per cent; alone, 48.8. Doughty alone was at 51.4. With Danault he reached 62.6 and with Arvidsson 63.5.

0.52 takeaways per 60 is the 12th percentile. Nothing in the event columns credits him with taking pucks off anyone.

The Physical Game

This is the part of his game the record does carry. 6.96 hits per 60 is the 85th percentile and the 31st-most of the 202 qualified defencemen. 0.21 penalties taken per 60 is the 4th percentile and his drawn-minus-taken is the 98th, from a defenceman who hits at the 85th. Heavy and clean at once is a rare pairing and it is the clearest thing about him.

3.61 blocks per 60 is the 30th percentile, which is low for the role and sits oddly beside the hits.

The Intangibles

The skating file is severe. 21.1 mph is the 24th-slowest of the 192 defencemen the tracking covers, 0.4 bursts over 20 mph per 60 is the 9th-fewest, and 8.06 miles per 60 is the 24th-least. He is among the two dozen least mobile defencemen the league measures, by all three of the chips’ measures at once, while playing twenty minutes a night.

That combination usually ends badly and here it did not, because the shares held. Whether that survives without Doughty beside him is the question, and the pair file’s answer — 48.8 per cent alone — is not encouraging.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • disciplined· stays out of the box

    0.14 penalty minutes a game over 57, 4th percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.75) · 35% keep it

  • punishinga strength· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “6.96 hits per 60 is the 85th percentile and the 31st-most of the 202 qualified defencemen.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 1,020 minutes

Expected goals
54%
82nd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
54.2%
85th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 42 for, 41 against. Expected: 45.7 and 39.0.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
11th
Numbers
82nd

The numbers rank him 71 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 51 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 57 games

Top speed
21.1 mph
34th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.5

Bursts over 20 mph
0.12 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.70 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
91.1 mph
43rd pct

one shot; the league's average best is 90.4

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2021-22 · 1020 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2021-22

The club
LAK took 52.8% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 54.0% — 1.2 above the club he did it on.
The role
Third pair, 1,020 minutes at five-on-five — 65th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Drew Doughty57.7%48.8%51.4%
Anze Kopitar54.1%53.9%53.5%
Phillip Danault62.6%50.0%54.4%

57.7% together, 48.8% for him apart and 51.4% for Doughty apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

84 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 2 of them goals. His median goal came from 54 feet. 11% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 68% from beyond forty.