Armchair Hockey Scout

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2022-23 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2022-23 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

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55

Quinton Byfield

Los Angeles Kings Right Wing

Second overall in 2020, 6-5 and 230, and forty-six NHL games at twenty with eleven points to show for them.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2020-21LAK6011+1200090.015:01
2021-22LAK405510-7200013912.812:09
2022-23 so far—————————————
Career—465611-6220014810.412:31

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

Forty games, five goals and five assists, 12:09 a night, minus-7. Twenty penalty minutes. Second overall in 2020, and 46 NHL games at 20.

He falls short of every percentile pool — forty games but 461 five-on-five minutes, under the five-hundred line — so this is the raw record.

The Finesse Game

His ice took 48.3 per cent of the expected goals. His ice went 13-18 against an expectation of 17.46-18.69. Under water, though not by much, in fourth-line minutes.

Thirty-nine shots at a 21-foot median, with 48 per cent of them inside twenty feet and 13 per cent beyond forty. That is the shot chart of a player going to the net, and at 6-5 and 230 it is the right one. Five goals from thirty-nine shots is 12.8 per cent.

The pair file offers little to hold. Beside Dustin Brown he took 45.0 per cent across 294 attempts and 50.6 without him; with Carl Grundstrom he reached 57.4 across 245. The samples are small and they do not agree with each other.

The Physical Game

Twenty penalty minutes in forty games. At 6-5 and 230 there is no hitting number worth quoting here — he did not qualify for the rate tables and the raw counts across twelve minutes a night carry no signal.

That absence is itself the note. A twenty-year-old with this frame who is not yet imposing it is the ordinary case, not the alarming one, and nothing in a forty-game season says which way it goes.

The Intangibles

23.0 mph is the 86th percentile of the 568 skaters who played forty games, and 2.1 sprints a game is the 84th — he is genuinely quick for the size, which is the thing that made him the second pick. 2.03 miles a game is the 14th percentile, but he played twelve minutes, and that measure scales with ice time.

Two seasons, 46 games, 11 points. The honest position is that nothing has happened yet in either direction — this is not a bust and it is not a breakout, it is a nineteen- and twenty-year-old getting fourth-line minutes on a club that made the playoffs. The reason to keep the page is the draft position and the frame, and neither is evidence.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • sheltered· is started in the attacking end

    60% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 91st percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 47% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 461 minutes

Expected goals
48.3%
41st pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
49.4%
49th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 13 for, 18 against. Expected: 17.5 and 18.7.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
9th
Numbers
41st

The numbers rank him 32 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 50 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 40 games

Top speed
23.0 mph
88th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0

Bursts over 20 mph
2.10 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.03 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
87.9 mph
54th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.1

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2021-22 · 461 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2021-22

The club
LAK took 52.8% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 48.3% — 4.5 below the club he did it on.
The role
Fourth line, 461 minutes at five-on-five — 16th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Dustin Brown45.0%50.6%50.2%
Gabriel Vilardi48.1%48.4%42.1%
Sean Durzi52.1%46.1%51.7%

45.0% together, 50.6% for him apart and 50.2% for Brown apart. Both were better apart than together — the pairing was doing neither of them any favours.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

63 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 6 of them goals. His median goal came from 23 feet. 48% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 13% from beyond forty.