Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2022-23 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2022-23 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.
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32

Jonathan Quick

Los Angeles Kings Goaltender

Second in career wins, games and shutouts among the 72 goaltenders in this book, and 27th of the 53 who played twenty-five games last year.

SeasonTeamGPWLOTLGAGAASOSASV%
2007-08LAK312093.84062.855
2008-09LAK44211821032.4841200.914
2009-10LAK72392471802.5441927.907
2010-11LAK61352231342.2461631.918
2011-12LAK693521131331.95101863.929
2012-13LAK3718134872.451889.902
2013-14LAK49271741002.0761183.915
2014-15LAK723622131562.2461896.918
2015-16LAK68402351492.2251820.918
2016-17LAK17852352.262421.917
2017-18LAK64332831472.4051867.921
2018-19LAK46162371493.3821329.888
2019-20LAK42162241172.7911224.904
2020-21LAK221192582.862566.897
2021-22LAK46231391162.5921284.910
2022-23 so far——————————
Career—7123592627816732.425619162.913

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

46 games, 23-13-9, a .9097 save percentage and a 2.59 goals-against. Two shutouts on 1,284 shots, at 36.

That save percentage is 27th of the 53 goaltenders who played twenty-five games. The goals-against is much better than that rank suggests, which is the first thing to understand about him: Los Angeles took 54.1 per cent of the attempts, fifth in the league, and he faced fewer pucks than most starters.

The Physical Game

Career: 712 games, 359 wins, 56 shutouts — second in all three among the 72 goaltenders in this book, behind Marc-Andre Fleury in each. Nineteen thousand shots.

The club-level model is kinder than the raw number. Los Angeles rated 7th in the league in goaltending at plus-10.7 goals saved above expectation, on a season where its two goaltenders finished 27th and 47th by save percentage. Those two facts pull in opposite directions and the repo cannot fully reconcile them — the club figure is adjusted for shot quality and the save percentage is not, so the reading is that the pucks he faced were harder than average and he stopped more of them than the model asked. That is an inference from two aggregates, not a measurement of him.

The Mental Game

The four seasons before last read .9213, .8879, .9044 and .8975 — one very good year and then three below his career .9127. Last season’s .9097 is the best of the four that followed 2017-18, and still under the career mark.

Whether that is recovery or a lighter workload behind a better defensive club is exactly the question the numbers cannot separate, and the honest answer is that forty-six games at 36 is not the sample that settles it.

The Intangibles

Fifteen seasons and 712 games for one club, and at 36 he took forty-six of the eighty-two and the better half of the tandem’s workload.

Nothing in this data measures a goaltender’s positioning, glove or rebound control — the repo has shots faced, goals allowed and where the shots came from, and every judgement above is built from those three. What it does say plainly is that the Kings’ crease was not the reason they missed, and was not the reason they finished either.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • leadershipa strength· the room, and who holds it

    “Fifteen seasons and 712 games for one club, and at 36 he took forty-six of the eighty-two and the better half of the tandem's workload.”