Armchair Hockey Scout

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2023-24 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2023-24 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.
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Seattle Kraken

Pacific Division, Western Conference · 21 reports in the 2023-24 edition.

This is the 2023-24 edition — an archived read, written from that season alone. Read the 2026-27 club page →

The club

2022-23 · 82 games · 195 for, 225 against

How it played

Shot attempts share, five-on-five
52.7% 5th of 32
Expected goals share, five-on-five
52.3% 11th of 32
Power play expected goals per sixty
6.98 19th of 32
Penalty kill expected goals allowed per sixty
7.89 28th of 32

Where the record lies

Finishing goals scored above what the chances were worth
+40.6 1st of 32
Goaltending goals prevented beyond what the chances allowed were worth
-6.5 21st of 32

Seattle Kraken scored 40.6 more goals than their chances were worth — 41 goals of the record that the underlying play does not explain, and it regresses.

Roster shape

Points-weighted, so these are the ages and origins of the production rather than of the sweaters.

Average age
28.4
weighted by points
From 33 and up
1.8%
of skater points
From under 26
15.8%
of skater points
Homegrown
8.0%
drafted by this club
Continuity
82.3%
of last season's five-on-five minutes

The read

the numbers, and the eye

Plus-40.6 at finishing, the most of any club in the league by fourteen and a half goals — a second-year club that outscored its own chances by more than anybody in hockey.

Who this names 8 of 21 on the roster · 43% of their five-on-five minutes details

Both columns above are searched, and a name counts on the same terms the page links it: in full always, by surname only when one man in the edition wears it. Nothing here says who ought to be named — only who was, so the weighting can be seen rather than guessed at.

Not named here: Oliver Bjorkstrand, Will Borgen, Andre Burakovsky, Joey Daccord, Jordan Eberle, Yanni Gourde, Philipp Grubauer, Jamie Oleksiak, Justin Schultz, Jaden Schwartz, Brandon Tanev, Eeli Tolvanen, Alexander Wennberg.

What the Quant Says

46-28-8, 100 points, 12th in the league and fourth in the Pacific.

289 goals for, 6th. 256 against, 15th. Fifth in shot-attempt share, 3rd at suppressing chances at even strength, 7th on the penalty kill — and 18th at creating chances and 27th on the power play.

At five-on-five: 209 goals scored against 168.4 expected, and 160 conceded against 153.5. The finishing was 1st in the league at plus-40.6 and the goaltending 21st at minus-6.5. Forty goals of finishing is the largest figure in this book, fourteen and a half clear of the next club, and this page is written on the assumption that it does not repeat.

Seattle beat Colorado in seven and lost the second round to Dallas in seven. In its second season.

Jared McCann scored 40 goals at 19.1 per cent. Vince Dunn had 64 points and none of them on the power play. Adam Larsson played the second-largest five-on-five workload in this book at the eleventh percentile of top speed. Matty Beniers had 57 points at 20 on 2 penalty minutes.

Brian Dumoulin, Kailer Yamamoto, Pierre-Edouard Bellemare and Devin Shore arrive. Martin Jones, Carson Soucy, Ryan Donato, Morgan Geekie and Daniel Sprong do not.

The structure is genuinely third-best-in-the-league good and the scoring was borrowed. If the finishing regresses to average, this is a club that creates chances at the nineteenth-best rate with the twenty-first-best goaltending, and none of the summer's business changes either number.

What the Scout Says

The largest finishing surplus in this book, and the third-best defensive structure in the league behind it.

Seattle outscored its five-on-five chances by 40.6 goals, the most in the league and fourteen and a half clear of the next club. It conceded chances at the third-best rate in hockey. Jared McCann scored 40 goals at 19.1 per cent and Vince Dunn had 64 points with none on the power play.

This is a well-coached club with no first line, no power play and no settled goaltender, and it took a hundred points and won a playoff round in its second season. Half of that is real.

The roster

Evidence 0 Full 19 Light 2 No record

No measured season behind two of them: Joey Daccord and Philipp Grubauer. Their pages carry an older stat line and a judgment, and nothing from 2022-23.

41

Pierre-Edouard Bellemare

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

LW · Seattle Kraken

Undrafted, born in France, 660 NHL games, and thirteen points a season.
10

Matty Beniers

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

C · Seattle Kraken

Fifty-seven points at twenty, and two penalty minutes in eighty games.
28

Oliver Bjorkstrand

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

RW · Seattle Kraken

A hundred and three shots on goal from the mid-slot, more than anybody else on this roster.
17

Will Borgen

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

D · Seattle Kraken

Fifty-seven shots on goal from beyond forty feet and none of them went in.
95

Andre Burakovsky

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

LW · Seattle Kraken

Thirty-nine points in forty-nine games, and nothing at all from thirty-two shots beyond forty feet.
35

Joey Daccord

Evidence behind this report: No record. No five-on-five record — Daccord did not play a measured season. Everything on the page is an older line and a judgment.

G · Seattle Kraken

A seventh-round pick, nineteen NHL games in four seasons, and a .9000 in five of them.
2

Brian Dumoulin

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

D · Seattle Kraken

One goal from eighty shots on goal, and 1,424 five-on-five minutes of not being noticed.
29

Vince Dunn

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

D · Seattle Kraken

Sixty-four points from a defenceman, none of them on the power play, and 7.22 per cent from beyond forty feet.
7

Jordan Eberle

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

RW · Seattle Kraken

Forty-three assists at thirty-two, a career high, in his nine hundred and fortieth game.
37

Yanni Gourde

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

C · Seattle Kraken

Five-foot-nine, undrafted, 76 penalty minutes, and nine different kinds of shot.
31

Philipp Grubauer

Evidence behind this report: No record. No five-on-five record — Grubauer did not play a measured season. Everything on the page is an older line and a judgment.

G · Seattle Kraken

A .9118 across 308 games, and .8891 and .8946 in the two since he arrived in Seattle.
6

Adam Larsson

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

D · Seattle Kraken

Sixteen hundred and thirty five-on-five minutes, second only to Erik Karlsson in this book, at the eleventh percentile of top speed.
19

Jared McCann

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

LW · Seattle Kraken

Forty goals at 19.1 per cent, and roughly double the league rate from every distance on the ice.
4

Jamie Oleksiak

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

D · Seattle Kraken

Six-foot-seven, 252 pounds, and five goals from eight shots inside twenty feet.
4

Justin Schultz

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

D · Seattle Kraken

Thirty-four points from the third pair, and a slap-shot share of a third that returned the league rate exactly.
17

Jaden Schwartz

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

C · Seattle Kraken

Twenty-one goals and a minus-17, on a club that outscored its chances by forty.
19

Devin Shore

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing, only 407 five-on-five minutes. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

C · Seattle Kraken

1.44 miles a game — the lowest figure in this book — and one goal in forty-seven games.
13

Brandon Tanev

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

LW · Seattle Kraken

Undrafted, sixteen goals, ten career shorthanded goals, and the 85th percentile of sprints.
20

Eeli Tolvanen

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

RW · Seattle Kraken

Waived by Nashville in December, eighteen goals by April, and above the league rate from every distance.
21

Alexander Wennberg

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

C · Seattle Kraken

A fourteen-foot median, every goal from inside twenty feet, and one slap shot all season.
56

Kailer Yamamoto

Evidence behind this report: Light. Thinner than most: part of the record is missing. The page is honest about what it has, but it is a smaller sample than the book's norm.

RW · Seattle Kraken

Five-foot-nine, a sixteen-foot median, and thirty tip-ins out of a hundred and seventeen attempts.

How they were used

2022-23 · 82 games

Measured from shift charts at five-on-five, not projected. Units are built from the strongest partnership outward and ordered by how much they were used; the percentage is the share of the first player’s five-on-five ice time spent alongside each linemate. A low number means the club never settled on a combination. Players who have gone are marked — either to another club, or off an NHL roster altogether, which covers retirement and an unsigned summer alike.

Forwards

First line

R Jordan Eberle 1121m
C Matty Beniers 81%
L Jared McCann 53%

Second line

C Alexander Wennberg 1125m
R Oliver Bjorkstrand 34%
C Jaden Schwartz 60%

Third line

L Brandon Tanev 29%
C Yanni Gourde 1156m
R Eeli Tolvanen 45%

Fourth line

C Ryan Donato now CHI 761m
C Morgan Geekie now BOS 27%
R Daniel Sprong now DET 34%

Defence

First pair

D Adam Larsson 1630m
D Vince Dunn 84%

Second pair

D Jamieson Oleksiak 1216m
D William Borgen 47%

Third pair

D Carson Soucy now VAN 1127m
D Justin Schultz 39%

Goaltending

By games played

G Martin Jones now TOR 48 GP
G Philipp Grubauer 39 GP
G Joey Daccord 5 GP