Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

42

Kasperi Kapanen

St. Louis Blues Right Wing

Six goals on 99 shots against a career rate nearly twice that.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2015-16TOR9000-32000140.014:47
2016-17TOR8101-20000119.110:42
2017-18TOR38729-140115512.711:15
2018-19TOR78202444+122712317411.516:37
2019-20TOR6913233602202212110.715:47
2020-21PIT40111930+1571036816.215:32
2021-22PIT79112132+2160021298.514:32
2022-23PIT/STL66151934-81831511612.913:41
2023-24STL7361622-514011996.114:23
2024-25 so far
Career46084124208+10110571778710.714:41

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

73 games, 6 goals and 16 assists for 22 points, 1 shorthanded, 14 penalty minutes, 14:23 a night and minus-5, with 1 game-winner. He took 43.8 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 924 minutes, the 24th percentile, and his ice went 31-41 against an expectation of 32.03-41.17.

Within a goal of the chances at both ends. He shot 6.1 per cent against a career 10.67, and six goals is the fewest of any full season he has played.

The Finesse Game

137 attempts at a median of 29 feet with 31 per cent of them from inside twenty, 89 of those on goal, converted at 6.1 per cent against a career 10.67 across 787 shots.

Eighty-four career goals in 460 games. The speed is the whole asset and it has always been — he beats defencemen wide and arrives at the net with the puck — and 7 career shorthanded goals is where that speed is worth the most.

The Physical Game

He is 6-1 and 194 and took 14 penalty minutes.

110 career penalty minutes in 460 games. There is very little contact in his game and he does not win pucks he has to fight for; everything depends on getting to the puck first.

The Intangibles

Twenty-second overall in 2014 by Pittsburgh, nine seasons, three organisations, and 208 points in 460 games.

Seven career shorthanded goals and a career plus-10. He scored 20 goals in Toronto at 22 and has not been near it since, and at 28 the speed is still the reason clubs keep signing him.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 924 minutes

Expected goals
43.8%
14th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
46.3%
24th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 31 for, 41 against. Expected: 32.0 and 41.2.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
51st
Numbers
14th

The report ranks him 37 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 70 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 924 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
STL took 44.8% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 43.8% — 1.0 below the club he did it on.
The role
Third line, 924 minutes at five-on-five — 50th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Nick Leddy43.8%43.8%44.8%
Colton Parayko45.9%42.5%44.0%
Torey Krug43.0%44.2%46.1%

43.8% together, 43.8% for him apart and 44.8% for Leddy apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

137 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 6 of them goals. His median goal came from 35 feet. 31% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 26% from beyond forty.