Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

55

Colton Parayko

St. Louis Blues Defense

One thousand six hundred and forty-eight minutes at five-on-five, more than anybody in this edition.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2015-16STL7992433+28293031655.519:23
2016-17STL8143135+7324021882.121:12
2017-18STL8262935-7132002122.822:37
2018-19STL80101828+20154031765.722:47
2019-20STL64101828+8163011626.223:00
2020-21STL3221012-214000603.321:20
2021-22STL8062935+16180021354.423:34
2022-23STL7942327-19300011333.023:00
2023-24STL82101626+4230141546.523:52
2024-25 so far
Career65961198259+551901611613854.422:22

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

82 games, 10 goals and 16 assists for 26 points, 1 shorthanded, 23 penalty minutes, 23:52 a night and plus-4, with 4 game-winners. He took 44.4 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,648 minutes — more than anybody in this edition — and his ice went 61-71 against an expectation of 59.71-74.73.

A goal of finishing above what the chances were worth and four goals of goaltending above them. Sixteen hundred and forty-eight minutes on a club that took 45 per cent of the attempts is the heaviest workload in the edition and one of the least rewarding.

The Finesse Game

207 attempts at a median of 52 feet with 69 per cent of them from beyond forty and 9 per cent from inside twenty, 150 of those on goal, converted at 6.5 per cent against a career 4.40 across 1,385 shots.

198 career assists in 659 games and 16 power-play goals. The shot from the point is genuinely heavy and ten goals from a defenceman who takes 69 per cent of his attempts from beyond forty feet is what a heavy shot buys.

The Physical Game

He is 6-6 and 228 and took 23 penalty minutes.

190 career penalty minutes in 659 games is a remarkably low total for a man that size playing twenty-four minutes a night. At 6-6 the stick takes away the cross-ice pass before it is thrown, and he defends with reach rather than contact almost every shift.

The Intangibles

Eighty-sixth overall in 2012 by St. Louis, nine seasons, one organisation, and 259 points in 659 games.

A career plus-55 across nine seasons on one club. He has played more than 79 games in five different seasons and carried the hardest defensive assignment in all of them.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,648 minutes

Expected goals
44.4%
18th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
44.1%
13th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 61 for, 71 against. Expected: 59.7 and 74.7.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
90th
Numbers
18th

The report ranks him 72 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 79 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 1648 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
STL took 44.8% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 44.4% — 0.4 below the club he did it on.
The role
First pair, 1,648 minutes at five-on-five — 100th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Nick Leddy43.4%49.5%50.3%
Robert Thomas46.1%43.3%52.5%
Pavel Buchnevich47.5%42.8%51.8%

43.4% together, 49.5% for him apart and 50.3% for Leddy apart. Both were better apart than together — the pairing was doing neither of them any favours.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

207 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 10 of them goals. His median goal came from 39 feet. 9% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 69% from beyond forty.