Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

13

Alexey Toropchenko

St. Louis Blues Right Wing

Six-six and 225 pounds, with 61 per cent of his attempts from inside twenty feet.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2021-22STL28202-915000434.710:43
2022-23STL6910919+6120108611.612:05
2023-24STL8214721-33002111412.312:31
2024-25 so far
Career179261642-65703124310.712:04

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

82 games, 14 goals and 7 assists for 21 points, 2 shorthanded, 30 penalty minutes, 12:31 a night and minus-3, with 1 game-winner. He took 41.8 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 944 minutes, the 15th percentile, and his ice went 24-31 against an expectation of 29.37-40.90.

Five goals of finishing below what the chances were worth and ten goals of goaltending above them. Fourteen goals from a fourth-line winger at twelve and a half minutes a night is a real return.

The Finesse Game

140 attempts at a median of 15 feet with 61 per cent of them from inside twenty, 109 of those on goal, converted at 12.3 per cent against a career 10.70 across 243 shots.

Zero power-play goals in 179 career games. Sixty-one per cent of his attempts from inside twenty feet is the closest shot chart on the club; at 6-6 he simply stands where the puck is going to be and nobody can move him out of it.

The Physical Game

He is 6-6 and 225 and took 30 penalty minutes.

Fifty-seven career penalty minutes in 179 games is a strikingly low total for a man that size. He forechecks with the frame and finishes checks without reaching, and there is no fighting or retaliation in his game at all.

The Intangibles

One hundred and thirteenth overall in 2017 by St. Louis, three seasons, one organisation, and 42 points in 179 games.

Three career shorthanded goals, two of them last season. He was a fourth-round pick who is 6-6, kills penalties and scores fourteen goals from the paint, which is a fourth-line player any club would take.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 944 minutes

Expected goals
41.8%
8th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
40.1%
2nd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 24 for, 31 against. Expected: 29.4 and 40.9.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
67th
Numbers
8th

The report ranks him 59 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 73 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 944 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
STL took 44.8% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 41.8% — 3.0 below the club he did it on.
The role
Third line, 944 minutes at five-on-five — 51st percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Kevin Hayes42.0%41.6%46.0%
Colton Parayko41.5%42.0%45.1%
Nick Leddy39.3%43.4%45.9%

42.0% together, 41.6% for him apart and 46.0% for Hayes apart. Hayes was better away from him while his own share held, which is a mark against him more than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

140 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 14 of them goals. His median goal came from 13 feet. 61% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 19% from beyond forty.