Armchair Hockey Scout

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2022-23 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2022-23 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

42

Kasperi Kapanen

Pittsburgh Penguins Right Wing

The 17th-fastest top speed of 365 forwards and the 7th-hardest shot, on the 29th-lowest slot share of 393.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2015-16TOR9000-32000140.014:47
2016-17TOR8101-20000119.110:42
2017-18TOR38729-140115512.711:15
2018-19TOR78202444+122712317411.516:37
2019-20TOR6913233602202212110.715:47
2020-21PIT40111930+1571036816.215:32
2021-22PIT79112132+2160021298.514:32
2022-23 so far—————————————
Career—3216389152+2378251157211.014:57

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

79 games, 11 goals and 21 assists at 14:32 a night, plus-2, sixteen penalty minutes, 129 shots. Twenty-second overall in 2014 by Pittsburgh, seven seasons, 321 games, 152 points.

The Finesse Game

Thirty-seven per cent of his attempts came from the slot, the 29th-lowest of the 393 forwards who played forty games, at a 30-foot median in the 88th percentile. He shoots from further out than almost anybody.

And his shot is 99.7 mph, the 7th-hardest of the 365 forwards the tracking measures. The two facts together describe a winger who arrives with speed and fires from range rather than driving the net.

6.74 shots per 60 is the 39th percentile at 8.5 per cent — the volume is low and the conversion is worse, and eleven goals in seventy-nine games is the arithmetic.

1.59 even-strength points per 60 is the 37th percentile. 2.09 takeaways per 60 is the 79th percentile among forwards, on 10.3 bursts over twenty miles an hour per 60 at the 89th.

53.7 per cent of the expected goals and 51.9 per cent of the attempts, out of 51.8 per cent offensive-zone starts, the 276th-highest of the 652 skaters who took two hundred end-zone starts — dead level, and one of only two Pittsburgh forwards who was neither buried nor sheltered.

The Physical Game

5.75 hits per 60 is the 68th percentile and 0.99 blocks the 16th at 6-1 and 194 pounds.

0.47 penalties drawn per 60 is the 16th percentile against 0.42 taken, sixteen penalty minutes in seventy-nine games. He is almost never involved in a penalty at either end, which for a man skating this fast is unusual.

The Intangibles

23.5 mph is the 17th-fastest of the 365 forwards the tracking covers. That, the 7th-hardest shot and the 89th-percentile sprint count are three elite physical measurements in one file.

9.92 miles per 60 is the 74th percentile. Nothing here is slow and nothing here is soft.

He is 26 with 321 games and 152 points, and he has never scored twenty. The speed, the shot and the takeaways are as good as anything on this roster. The slot share, the shooting percentage and the scoring rate are why he plays fourteen minutes behind two men in their late thirties.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    79 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • forechecks-aggressivelya strength· first man in, and on the puck

    “2.09 takeaways per 60 is the 79th percentile among forwards, on 10.3 bursts over twenty miles an hour per 60 at the 89th.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 1,019 minutes

Expected goals
53.7%
80th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
51.9%
72nd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 37 for, 29 against. Expected: 41.6 and 35.8.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
74th
Numbers
80th

The two rank him within 6 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 66 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 79 games

Top speed
23.5 mph
97th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0

Bursts over 20 mph
2.49 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.40 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
99.7 mph
99th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.1

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2021-22 · 1019 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2021-22

The club
PIT took 53.5% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 53.7% — 0.2 above the club he did it on.
The role
Second line, 1,019 minutes at five-on-five — 64th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Jeff Carter50.5%55.7%48.9%
John Marino56.0%52.5%50.3%
Evan Rodrigues60.3%50.2%55.3%

50.5% together, 55.7% for him apart and 48.9% for Carter apart. He was better away from Carter, who was no worse away from him — the pairing cost him more than it cost Carter.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

175 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 11 of them goals. His median goal came from 11 feet. 29% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 21% from beyond forty.