This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2025-26 report →
Kevin Hayes
Pittsburgh Penguins Right Wing
Ten career shorthanded goals, the most on this roster, and twelve penalty minutes in 79 games at 6-3.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014-15 | NYR | 79 | 17 | 28 | 45 | +15 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 111 | 15.3 | 13:02 |
| 2015-16 | NYR | 79 | 14 | 22 | 36 | +4 | 30 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 133 | 10.5 | 13:40 |
| 2016-17 | NYR | 76 | 17 | 32 | 49 | +10 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 143 | 11.9 | 16:34 |
| 2017-18 | NYR | 76 | 25 | 19 | 44 | +1 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 172 | 14.5 | 17:21 |
| 2018-19 | NYR/WPG | 71 | 19 | 36 | 55 | -2 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 156 | 12.2 | 18:17 |
| 2019-20 | PHI | 69 | 23 | 18 | 41 | -6 | 34 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 175 | 13.1 | 17:44 |
| 2020-21 | PHI | 55 | 12 | 19 | 31 | -2 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 127 | 9.4 | 17:31 |
| 2021-22 | PHI | 48 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -20 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 126 | 7.9 | 17:55 |
| 2022-23 | PHI | 81 | 18 | 36 | 54 | -22 | 23 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 209 | 8.6 | 17:34 |
| 2023-24 | STL | 79 | 13 | 16 | 29 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 153 | 8.5 | 14:28 |
| 2024-25 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 713 | 168 | 247 | 415 | -22 | 217 | 29 | 10 | 25 | 1505 | 11.2 | 16:16 |
This Season So Far
The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
79 games with St. Louis, 13 goals and 16 assists for 29 points, none on the power play, 12 penalty minutes, 14:28 a night and even, with 2 game-winners. He took 44.3 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,012 minutes, the 17th percentile, and his ice went 36-35 against an expectation of 34.63-43.62.
Nine goals of goaltending above what the shots called for, which is most of the reason a 44 per cent chance share came out even. Twenty-nine points is the lowest total of any full season he has played.
The Finesse Game
194 attempts at a median of 26 feet with 40 per cent of them from inside twenty, 142 of those on goal, converted at 8.5 per cent against a career 11.16 across 1,505 shots.
247 career assists in 713 games. He is a large centre who plays a slow, patient game with the puck — he holds it at the top of the circle until a lane opens rather than forcing one — and 415 career points is what that has been worth.
The Physical Game
He is 6-3 and 217 and took 12 penalty minutes.
217 career penalty minutes in 713 games, and twelve in 79 last season. He is one of the largest forwards on this roster and one of the least physical; he shields pucks with his frame and does almost nothing else with it.
The Intangibles
Twenty-fourth overall in 2010 by Chicago, ten seasons, five organisations, and 415 points in 713 games.
Ten career shorthanded goals, the most of anybody on this roster. A career minus-22 across five clubs is the record of a centre who has taken the hard minutes without the results ever quite following.
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,012 minutes
- Expected goals
- 44.3%
- 17th pct
- Shot attempts
- 45.8%
- 21st pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 36 for, 35 against. Expected: 34.6 and 43.6.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe report ranks him 30 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.
Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 69 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Usual linemates
2023-24 with STL · 1012 minutes at five-on-five
- Brandon Saad30%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2023-24
- The club
- STL took 44.8% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 44.3% — 0.5 below the club he did it on.
- The role
- Third line, 1,012 minutes at five-on-five — 59th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alexey Toropchenko | 42.0% | 46.0% | 41.6% |
| Colton Parayko | 47.6% | 42.5% | 43.6% |
| Nick Leddy | 45.2% | 43.7% | 44.4% |
42.0% together, 46.0% for him apart and 41.6% for Toropchenko apart. He was better away from Toropchenko, who was no worse away from him — the pairing cost him more than it cost Toropchenko.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
194 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 13 of them goals. His median goal came from 11 feet. 40% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 23% from beyond forty.