Armchair Hockey Scout

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2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2025-26 report →

4

Nick Leddy

St. Louis Blues Defense

Fourteen penalty minutes in 82 games at 22:22, and the best plus-minus on the club.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2010-11CHI46437-340003710.814:19
2011-12CHI8233437-1210000943.222:05
2012-13CHI4861218+1510202659.217:25
2013-14CHI8272431+10104011235.716:22
2014-15NYI78102737+18141011208.320:22
2015-16NYI8153540-9253011214.122:37
2016-17NYI81113546-3123011378.022:43
2017-18NYI80103242-42204011536.522:25
2018-19NYI82422260180001163.521:33
2019-20NYI6031821-114100724.221:07
2020-21NYI5622931-38101792.521:35
2021-22DET/STL7532124-3022000714.221:25
2022-23STL7822123+420001792.521:07
2023-24STL8232528+1414010823.722:22
2024-25 so far—————————————
Career—101173338411-42201191913495.420:48

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

82 games, 3 goals and 25 assists for 28 points, 1 shorthanded, 14 penalty minutes, 22:22 a night and plus-14. He took 44.6 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,567 minutes — the ninth-most in this edition — and his ice went 61-60 against an expectation of 60.29-74.93.

Level with the chances at the offensive end and fifteen goals of goaltending above them at the other. The plus-14 is the best figure on the club and it came on the second-lowest chance share of its three big-minute defencemen.

The Finesse Game

118 attempts at a median of 50 feet with 66 per cent of them from beyond forty and 11 per cent from inside twenty, 81 of those on goal, converted at 3.7 per cent against a career 5.41 across 1,349 shots.

338 career assists against 73 goals in 1,011 games. He skates the puck out of trouble rather than passing it out and always has; at 33 the first three strides are still the best on this blue line and 25 assists is what they produce.

The Physical Game

He is 6-0 and 205 and took 14 penalty minutes in 82 games.

201 career penalty minutes in 1,011 games is a very low total for a defenceman with that many games. He does not defend with his body at all — the gap is closed with feet and the puck is taken with a stick — and fourteen minutes in a full season at twenty-two a night is remarkable.

The Intangibles

Sixteenth overall in 2009 by Minnesota, fourteen seasons, four organisations, and 411 points in 1,011 games.

A career minus-42 across fourteen seasons. He has played more than a thousand games without ever being anybody’s first-pairing defenceman, which is a career most first-round picks would take.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • disciplined· stays out of the box

    0.17 penalty minutes a game over 82, 5th percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.75) · 35% keep it

  • durable· was available

    82 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • workhorse· carries the load at even strength

    19:07 a game at five-on-five, 92nd percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.78) · 58% keep it

  • transitiona strength· carries it out; gains the line under control

    “He skates the puck out of trouble rather than passing it out and always has; at 33 the first three strides are still the best on this blue line and 25 assists is what they produce.”

  • punishinghe lacks it· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “He does not defend with his body at all — the gap is closed with feet and the puck is taken with a stick — and fourteen minutes in a full season at twenty-two a night is remarkable.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,567 minutes

Expected goals
44.6%
19th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
44.2%
14th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 61 for, 60 against. Expected: 60.3 and 74.9.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
47th
Numbers
19th

The report ranks him 28 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 69 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 82 games

Top speed
23.6 mph
99th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.7

Bursts over 20 mph
1.05 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.94 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
91.1 mph
45th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 90.2

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 1567 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
STL took 44.8% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 44.6% — 0.2 below the club he did it on.
The role
First pair, 1,567 minutes at five-on-five — 99th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Colton Parayko43.4%50.3%49.5%
Robert Thomas47.1%42.9%51.6%
Pavel Buchnevich48.3%42.7%51.1%

43.4% together, 50.3% for him apart and 49.5% for Parayko apart. Both were better apart than together — the pairing was doing neither of them any favours.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

118 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 3 of them goals. His median goal came from 43 feet. 11% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 66% from beyond forty.