Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

42

Kasperi Kapanen

Edmonton Oilers Right Wing

14 points in 67 games and a minus-22, the worst rating on a club that won 48 games.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2015-16TOR9000-32000140.014:47
2016-17TOR8101-20000119.110:42
2017-18TOR38729-140115512.711:15
2018-19TOR78202444+122712317411.516:37
2019-20TOR6913233602202212110.715:47
2020-21PIT40111930+1571036816.215:32
2021-22PIT79112132+2160021298.514:32
2022-23PIT/STL66151934-81831511612.913:41
2023-24STL7361622-514011996.114:23
2024-25STL/EDM676814-2216002669.111:55
2025-26 so far
Career52790132222-12126571985310.514:20

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

6 goals and 8 assists in 67 games for 14 points, minus-22 — the worst rating on the club — on 11:55 a night.

49.8 per cent at five-on-five, the 51st percentile, with on-ice goals of 26-31 against an expected 26-26. The chance share is unremarkable and the rating is worse than it, which on a club with this much talent is difficult to achieve.

The Finesse Game

The speed is real and always has been — he is among the faster wingers in the league in a straight line. Nothing else has ever arrived.

66 shots in 67 games is very low volume and 6 goals from them is worse. 8 assists says there is no playmaking. Nine NHL seasons have produced one 20-goal year, and it was six years ago.

The Physical Game

6-1 and 194, and he does not play a physical game. He does not forecheck with weight, does not win pucks, and does not go to the net.

16 penalty minutes over 67 games. He is not involved.

The Intangibles

A first-round pick, four organisations, and a career of clubs signing him for the speed and discovering the rest.

At 29 this is the answer. The projection is a thirteenth forward, and on a contender with a hard salary structure that is an expensive thing to carry.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 692 minutes

Expected goals
49.8%
52nd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
51.1%
65th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 26 for, 31 against. Expected: 25.7 and 25.9.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
18th
Numbers
52nd

The numbers rank him 34 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 357 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 66 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 582 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
EDM took 54.3% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 49.8% — 4.5 below the club he did it on.
The role
Fourth line, 692 minutes at five-on-five — 27th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Brett Kulak54.6%47.4%54.5%
Darnell Nurse54.2%47.7%53.3%
Evan Bouchard48.2%50.4%59.6%

54.6% together, 47.4% for him apart and 54.5% for Kulak apart. He was worse away from Kulak, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Kulak did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

88 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 6 of them goals. His median goal came from 12 feet. 36% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 24% from beyond forty.