Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

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42

Kasperi Kapanen

Edmonton Oilers Right Wing

14 points in 67 games and a minus-22, the worst rating on a club that won 48 games.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2015-16TOR9000-32000140.014:47
2016-17TOR8101-20000119.110:42
2017-18TOR38729-140115512.711:15
2018-19TOR78202444+122712317411.516:37
2019-20TOR6913233602202212110.715:47
2020-21PIT40111930+1571036816.215:32
2021-22PIT79112132+2160021298.514:32
2022-23PIT/STL66151934-81831511612.913:41
2023-24STL7361622-514011996.114:23
2024-25STL/EDM676814-2216002669.111:55
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—52790132222-12126571985310.514:20

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

6 goals and 8 assists in 67 games for 14 points, minus-22 — the worst rating on the club — on 11:55 a night.

47.6 per cent at five-on-five, the 31st percentile, with on-ice goals of 21-43 against an expected 25-28. The chance share is unremarkable and the rating is worse than it, which on a club with this much talent is difficult to achieve.

The Finesse Game

The speed is real and always has been — he is among the faster wingers in the league in a straight line. Nothing else has ever arrived.

66 shots in 67 games is very low volume and 6 goals from them is worse. 8 assists says there is no playmaking. Nine NHL seasons have produced one 20-goal year, and it was six years ago.

The Physical Game

6-1 and 194, and he does not play a physical game. He does not forecheck with weight, does not win pucks, and does not go to the net.

16 penalty minutes over 67 games. He is not involved.

The Intangibles

A first-round pick, four organisations, and a career of clubs signing him for the speed and discovering the rest.

At 29 this is the answer. The projection is a thirteenth forward, and on a contender with a hard salary structure that is an expensive thing to carry.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • punishinghe lacks it· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “6-1 and 194, and he does not play a physical game.”

  • forechecks-aggressivelyhe lacks it· first man in, and on the puck

    “He does not forecheck with weight”

  • wins-the-wallhe lacks it· the corners and below the goal line

    “does not win pucks”

  • net-fronthe lacks it· lives in the blue paint; the screens and the tips

    “does not go to the net”

  • playmakerhe lacks it· passes up the shot a scorer takes

    “8 assists says there is no playmaking.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 692 minutes

Expected goals
47.6%
32nd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
50.2%
55th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 21 for, 43 against. Expected: 25.2 and 27.8.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
17th
Numbers
32nd

The two rank him within 15 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 66 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 67 games

Top speed
23.1 mph
88th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
1.64 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
1.92 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
94.4 mph
95th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 582 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
EDM took 54.3% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 47.6% — 6.7 below the club he did it on.
The role
Fourth line, 692 minutes at five-on-five — 27th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Brett Kulak52.8%44.9%53.8%
Darnell Nurse52.4%45.4%53.9%
Evan Bouchard44.8%48.8%60.1%

52.8% together, 44.9% for him apart and 53.8% for Kulak apart. He was worse away from Kulak, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Kulak did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

88 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 6 of them goals. His median goal came from 12 feet. 36% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 24% from beyond forty.