Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

15

Alex Newhook

Montreal Canadiens Center

Fifteen goals in 55 games at a 17.65 per cent conversion, which is not going to happen again.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2020-21COL6033+5200080.013:41
2021-22COL71132033+111230511311.513:34
2022-23COL8214163002210311612.113:57
2023-24MTL55151934-11182028517.616:56
2024-25 so far
Career2144258100+554601032213.014:35

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

55 games, 15 goals and 19 assists for 34 points, 2 on the power play, 18 penalty minutes, 16:56 a night and minus-11. He took 46.8 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 727 minutes, the 30th percentile, and his ice went 36-34 against an expectation of 31.99-36.40.

Four goals of finishing above what the chances were worth and two fewer conceded than they called for. Thirty-four points in fifty-five games in a first season here, and the conversion rate underneath it is not repeatable.

The Finesse Game

131 attempts at a median of 21 feet with 49 per cent from inside 20, 85 of them on goal, converted at 17.7 per cent against a career 13.04.

58 career assists in 214 games. Fifteen goals on eighty-five shots is a rate nobody sustains. What is real is the skating: he is the fastest forward on this roster and he gets to the interior with it rather than around the outside.

The Physical Game

He is 5-11 and 200 and does not initiate.

18 penalty minutes in 55 games is a low rate. He does not forecheck by force and does not win many walls, and the whole of his defensive value is the speed back.

The Intangibles

Sixteenth overall in 2019 by Colorado, out of St. John’s, two years at Boston College, four seasons, and 100 points in 214 games.

He is 23 and Montreal paid a first-round pick and more for him. Thirty-four points in fifty-five games looks like a step forward and the shooting percentage says be careful about how large a step.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 727 minutes

Expected goals
46.8%
31st pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
44.5%
15th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 36 for, 34 against. Expected: 32.0 and 36.4.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
58th
Numbers
31st

The report ranks him 27 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 379 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 67 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 727 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
MTL took 46.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 46.8% — 0.7 above the club he did it on.
The role
Third line, 727 minutes at five-on-five — 34th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Joel Armia48.1%45.7%52.4%
Mike Matheson44.4%48.1%44.5%
Brendan Gallagher51.9%43.8%49.6%

48.1% together, 45.7% for him apart and 52.4% for Armia apart. Armia was better away from him while his own share held, which is a mark against him more than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

131 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 15 of them goals. His median goal came from 20 feet. 49% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 14% from beyond forty.