Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

40

Joel Armia

Montreal Canadiens Right Wing

Fourteen career shorthanded goals in 505 games, and plus-4 on a club that finished 28th.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2014-15BUF100000000014:47
2015-16WPG434610+212001527.712:10
2016-17WPG5710919-8200411119.015:08
2017-18WPG79121729+3220121289.412:36
2018-19MTL571310230142121349.715:48
2019-20MTL58161430+22833215510.317:14
2020-21MTL417714+1010110739.614:42
2021-22MTL606814-15141101035.813:43
2022-23MTL437714-7220106910.114:57
2023-24MTL6617825+43402313912.215:33
2024-25 so far
Career5059286178-9176714119649.514:38

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

66 games, 17 goals and 8 assists for 25 points, 2 shorthanded, 34 penalty minutes, 15:33 a night and plus-4. He took 50.4 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 803 minutes, the 56th percentile, and his ice went 34-32 against an expectation of 33.98-33.37.

Level at both ends. He is one of only three men on this roster who finished on the right side of the plus-minus, and the seventeen goals were a career high at 30.

The Finesse Game

175 attempts at a median of 30 feet with 27 per cent from beyond 40, 139 of them on goal, converted at 12.2 per cent against a career 9.54.

86 career assists in 505 games. Seventeen goals on 139 shots is four above his own career rate and it will not repeat. The hands are better than the production has ever shown and the reason is that he will not shoot.

The Physical Game

He is 6-3 and 215 and protects the puck with reach rather than force.

176 career penalty minutes in 505 games is a low rate for a man that size. He defends with a very long stick, kills penalties, and has 14 career shorthanded goals in 505 games — a remarkable number for a player with 92 goals in total.

The Intangibles

Sixteenth overall in 2011 by Buffalo, out of Pori, ten seasons across three organisations, and 178 points in 505 games.

He is 31 and has been a maddening player for a decade: the tools of a top-six winger and the output of a third-liner. What he genuinely is, is one of the better penalty-killing forwards in the league.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 803 minutes

Expected goals
50.4%
56th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
47.6%
32nd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 34 for, 32 against. Expected: 34.0 and 33.4.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
53rd
Numbers
56th

The two rank him within 3 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 415 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 66 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 803 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
MTL took 46.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 50.4% — 4.3 above the club he did it on.
The role
Third line, 803 minutes at five-on-five — 39th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Alex Newhook48.1%52.4%45.7%
Brendan Gallagher55.3%47.4%48.1%
Jayden Struble49.7%50.8%43.1%

48.1% together, 52.4% for him apart and 45.7% for Newhook apart. He was better away from Newhook, who was no worse away from him — the pairing cost him more than it cost Newhook.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

175 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 17 of them goals. His median goal came from 18 feet. 34% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 27% from beyond forty.