Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

15

Alex Newhook

Montreal Canadiens Center

26 points and a minus-21, and a 50.8 per cent chance share that says the rating is not his.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2020-21COL6033+5200080.013:41
2021-22COL71132033+111230511311.513:34
2022-23COL8214163002210311612.113:57
2023-24MTL55151934-11182028517.616:56
2024-25MTL82151126-212410311812.715:08
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—2965769126-1678701344013.014:44

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

15 goals and 11 assists in 82 games for 26 points, minus-21, on 15:08 a night.

48.7 per cent at five-on-five, the 41st percentile — the second-best figure among the club’s forwards — with on-ice goals of 34-56 against an expected 44.5-47.0. The five-on-five play was fine; the minus-21 came shorthanded and on the empty net.

The Finesse Game

The skating is genuinely good and it is the only elite tool. He enters the zone with speed and can beat a defenceman wide.

118 shots and 15 goals at 12.7 per cent is a fair rate, and 11 assists in 82 games is very thin — he does not create for other people and never has. The hands do not keep up with the feet when the play slows.

The Physical Game

5-11 and 200, and he plays honestly without winning much. He forechecks at speed and is separated from possession by defencemen who get a body on him.

24 penalty minutes over 82 games. The durability has been good since arriving here.

The Intangibles

A first-round pick, a Cup in Colorado in a small role, and a trade that cost Montreal two high picks.

At 24 the projection is a third-line winger who scores 15. The minus-21 should not be held against him and the 11 assists should.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    82 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • transitiona strength· carries it out; gains the line under control

    “He enters the zone with speed and can beat a defenceman wide.”

  • playmakerhe lacks it· passes up the shot a scorer takes

    “he does not create for other people and never has”

  • forechecks-aggressivelya strength· first man in, and on the puck

    “He forechecks at speed and is separated from possession by defencemen who get a body on him.”

  • hard-to-movehe lacks it· cannot be shifted from where he decides to stand

    “is separated from possession by defencemen who get a body on him”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,034 minutes

Expected goals
48.7%
41st pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
45.9%
17th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 34 for, 56 against. Expected: 44.5 and 47.0.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
42nd
Numbers
41st

The two rank him within 1 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 71 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 82 games

Top speed
23.2 mph
93rd pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
3.15 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.42 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
85.1 mph
45th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1034 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
MTL took 48.6% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 48.7% — 0.1 above the club he did it on.
The role
Fourth line, 1,034 minutes at five-on-five — 66th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Kirby Dach49.0%48.5%44.8%
Lane Hutson49.4%48.2%53.4%
Patrik Laine45.6%50.5%37.6%

49.0% together, 48.5% for him apart and 44.8% for Dach apart. Dach was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Dach than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

198 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 15 of them goals. His median goal came from 21 feet. 40% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 13% from beyond forty.