Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

71

Simon Nemec

New Jersey Devils Defense

Second overall in 2022, 19:52 a night at 19, and a chance share above even on a club that was 21st at suppression.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2023-24NJD6031619-733001734.119:52
2024-25 so far
Career6031619-733001734.119:52

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

60 games, 3 goals and 16 assists for 19 points, 33 penalty minutes, 19:52 a night and minus-7. He took 51.6 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,042 minutes, the 64th percentile, and his ice went 49-47 against an expectation of 46.73-43.87.

Two goals of finishing above what the chances were worth and three more conceded than they called for. A chance share above even in a first season at 19, on a club whose chance suppression was 21st in the league.

The Finesse Game

73 shots at a median of 51 feet with 74 per cent from beyond 40, converted at 4.1 per cent.

16 assists in 60 games. He is a right-handed puck-mover and the first pass is already the best part of him; the shot from the point is ordinary and there is no power-play role yet. He walks the line without panicking.

The Physical Game

He is 6-1 and 190 and defends with position rather than weight.

33 penalty minutes in 60 games at almost twenty a night is an ordinary rate for a teenager. He blocks shots and does not clear a crease.

The Intangibles

Second overall in 2022 out of Liptovsky Mikulas, one season, and 19 points in 60 games.

He is 20 and played 19:52 a night in a first season. Second overall picks on the blue line take five years to judge and the first of them went considerably better than the plus-minus of the men around him.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,042 minutes

Expected goals
51.6%
65th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
49.9%
54th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 49 for, 47 against. Expected: 46.7 and 43.9.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
70th
Numbers
65th

The two rank him within 5 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 379 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 70 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 1042 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
NJD took 50.7% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 51.6% — 0.9 above the club he did it on.
The role
Second pair, 1,042 minutes at five-on-five — 64th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Jonas Siegenthaler45.2%54.8%50.3%
Dawson Mercer53.9%50.6%46.0%
Nico Hischier52.7%51.1%53.8%

45.2% together, 54.8% for him apart and 50.3% for Siegenthaler apart. Both were better apart than together — the pairing was doing neither of them any favours.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

111 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 3 of them goals. His median goal came from 40 feet. 12% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 74% from beyond forty.