Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

17

Josh Anderson

Montreal Canadiens Right Wing

Nine goals in 78 games at 6-3 and 226, on the eleventh percentile of chances.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2014-15CBJ6011-12000100.013:27
2015-16CBJ1213402000119.110:42
2016-17CBJ78171229+128900311914.312:01
2017-18CBJ63191130-14210518810.118:02
2018-19CBJ82272047+256032523011.717:01
2019-20CBJ26134-817000631.616:04
2020-21MTL5217724-103811512513.616:25
2021-22MTL69191332-256520115112.617:14
2022-23MTL69211132-87241516412.816:58
2023-24MTL7891120-18740001416.415:28
2024-25 so far—————————————
Career—53513192223-3446111424120210.915:55

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

78 games, 9 goals and 11 assists for 20 points, 74 penalty minutes, 15:28 a night and minus-18. He took 43.0 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,041 minutes, the 11th percentile, and his ice went 36-46 against an expectation of 38.78-51.45.

Three goals of scoring that did not arrive and five fewer conceded than the chances called for. The 11th percentile is the worst chance share of any regular forward on the roster and the twenty points are the worst return.

The Finesse Game

218 attempts at a median of 22 feet with 44 per cent from inside 20, 141 of them on goal, converted at 6.4 per cent against a career 10.90.

92 career assists in 535 games. He gets to the right ice and cannot finish from it — nine goals on that shot chart is six or seven short of the rate he has produced for a decade. There is no playmaking to speak of.

The Physical Game

He hits as hard as anybody in the league at 6-3 and 226 and skates faster than a man that size has any right to.

461 career penalty minutes in 535 games is a real rate. He forechecks aggressively, wins the wall, clears the crease, and will fight anybody who asks.

The Intangibles

A fourth-round pick in 2012 out of Burlington, Ontario, ten seasons across two organisations, and 223 points in 535 games.

He is 30 and had by a distance the worst season of his career. Two years before it he scored 21 goals; the club is paying for that man and got this one.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    78 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • punishinga strength· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “He hits as hard as anybody in the league at 6-3 and 226 and skates faster than a man that size has any right to.”

  • forechecks-aggressivelya strength· first man in, and on the puck

    “He forechecks aggressively, wins the wall, clears the crease, and will fight anybody who asks.”

  • wins-the-walla strength· the corners and below the goal line

    “He forechecks aggressively, wins the wall, clears the crease, and will fight anybody who asks.”

  • clears-the-creasea strength· moves grown men off the front of his net

    “He forechecks aggressively, wins the wall, clears the crease, and will fight anybody who asks.”

  • nastya strength· hard to play against; the edge is the point

    “He forechecks aggressively, wins the wall, clears the crease, and will fight anybody who asks.”

  • playmakerhe lacks it· passes up the shot a scorer takes

    “There is no playmaking to speak of.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,041 minutes

Expected goals
43%
11th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
43.2%
9th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 36 for, 46 against. Expected: 38.8 and 51.5.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
35th
Numbers
11th

The report ranks him 24 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 66 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 78 games

Top speed
23.3 mph
93rd pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.1

Bursts over 20 mph
4.27 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.60 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
91.5 mph
79th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.5

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 1041 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
MTL took 46.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 43.0% — 3.1 below the club he did it on.
The role
Second line, 1,041 minutes at five-on-five — 64th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Jake Evans46.3%39.6%43.6%
Mike Matheson43.2%42.9%44.9%
David Savard44.5%42.4%45.4%

46.3% together, 39.6% for him apart and 43.6% for Evans apart. He was worse away from Evans, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Evans did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

218 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 9 of them goals. His median goal came from 10 feet. 44% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 14% from beyond forty.