This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

Zach Bogosian

Third overall in 2008, 778 penalty minutes, 848 games, and a Stanley Cup at the third stop.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2008-09	ATL	47	9	10	19	+11	47	2	1	1	90	10.0	18:06
2009-10	ATL	81	10	13	23	-18	61	3	1	0	155	6.5	21:25
2010-11	ATL	71	5	12	17	-27	29	0	0	1	155	3.2	22:24
2011-12	WPG	65	5	25	30	-3	71	1	0	0	150	3.3	23:19
2012-13	WPG	33	5	9	14	-5	29	0	0	0	85	5.9	23:07
2013-14	WPG	55	3	8	11	+3	48	0	0	0	134	2.2	22:55
2014-15	WPG/BUF	62	3	17	20	-6	78	0	0	0	125	2.4	23:39
2015-16	BUF	64	7	17	24	-11	68	3	0	1	121	5.8	22:21
2016-17	BUF	56	2	9	11	-17	46	0	0	1	73	2.7	20:05
2017-18	BUF	18	0	1	1	-9	20	0	0	0	29	0.0	19:09
2018-19	BUF	65	3	16	19	-5	52	0	1	0	93	3.2	21:38
2019-20	BUF/TBL	27	1	6	7	0	22	0	0	0	29	3.5	16:38
2020-21	TOR	45	0	4	4	+7	49	0	0	0	36	0.0	14:32
2021-22	TBL	48	3	5	8	+2	53	0	0	1	60	5.0	15:22
2022-23	TBL	46	1	4	5	-4	42	0	0	0	54	1.8	14:59
2023-24	TBL/MIN	65	3	11	14	+11	63	0	0	1	83	3.6	17:53
2024-25 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	848	60	167	227	-71	778	9	3	6	1472	4.1	20:16

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

65 games, 3 goals and 11 assists for 14 points, 63 penalty minutes, 17:53 a night and plus-11. He took 52.8 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,049 minutes, the 74th percentile, and his ice went 48-41 against an expectation of 39.97-35.72.

Eight goals of finishing above what the chances were worth and five more conceded than they called for. A 74th-percentile chance share on a second pair at 33 is more than the contract was asking for.

The Finesse Game

122 attempts at a median of 57 feet with 83 per cent from beyond 40 and 3 per cent from inside 20, converted at 3.6 per cent against a career 4.08.

167 career assists in 848 games. That is the shot chart of a man who has been told to keep it simple and has agreed. Sixty goals in sixteen seasons; the puck goes to the net from the point or it goes off the glass.

The Physical Game

He hits as hard as anybody in the league at 6-3 and 231, and 778 career penalty minutes in 848 games is what sixteen years of it costs.

He will fight, he clears the crease, and he is hard to move from in front of his own net. He blocks shots and kills penalties, and a good deal of the sixty-three minutes is retaliation.

The Intangibles

Third overall in 2008 out of Massena, New York, sixteen seasons in Atlanta, Winnipeg, Buffalo, Tampa Bay, Toronto and now here, and 227 points in 848 games at a career minus-71.

He is 34 and won a Stanley Cup in Tampa Bay in 2020 after eleven years of losing everywhere else. The career minus-71 is a description of the clubs rather than the player.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

perimeter· shoots from the outside, by choice or because he cannot get in
82.8% of his attempts from 40 feet or beyond, 91st percentile among defencemen
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it
punishinga strength· finishes checks; hurts people legally
“He hits as hard as anybody in the league at 6-3 and 231, and 778 career penalty minutes in 848 games is what sixteen years of it costs.”
nastya strength· hard to play against; the edge is the point
“He will fight, he clears the crease, and he is hard to move from in front of his own net.”
clears-the-creasea strength· moves grown men off the front of his net
“He will fight, he clears the crease, and he is hard to move from in front of his own net.”
hard-to-movea strength· cannot be shifted from where he decides to stand
“He will fight, he clears the crease, and he is hard to move from in front of his own net.”
retaliatesa strength· answers the cross-check, and takes the second penalty
“He blocks shots and kills penalties, and a good deal of the sixty-three minutes is retaliation.”
shot-blockera strength· gets in front of it
“He blocks shots and kills penalties, and a good deal of the sixty-three minutes is retaliation.”
penalty-killera strength· trusted a man short
“He blocks shots and kills penalties, and a good deal of the sixty-three minutes is retaliation.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,049 minutes

Expected goals: 52.8%; 74th pct
Shot attempts: 51.5%; 68th pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 48 for, 41 against. Expected: 40.0 and 35.7.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight

Report

24th

Numbers

74th

The numbers rank him 50 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 63 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 65 games

Top speed: 24.0 mph; 100th pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 1.14 a game
Distance: 2.48 miles a game
Hardest shot: 99.5 mph; 91st pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 1002 minutes at five-on-five

Jonas Brodin36%
Alex Goligoskioff the roster27%
Jacob Middleton9%

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club: MIN took 51.3% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 52.8% — 1.5 above the club he did it on.
The role: Second pair, 1,049 minutes at five-on-five — 65th percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Jonas Brodin	55.2%	51.6%	52.0%
Marco Rossi	59.2%	50.1%	50.8%
Kirill Kaprizov	60.4%	49.0%	54.1%

55.2% together, 51.6% for him apart and 52.0% for Brodin apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

122 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 3 of them goals. His median goal came from 35 feet. 3% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 83% from beyond forty.