Armchair Hockey Scout

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2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

25

Jonas Brodin

Minnesota Wild Defense

Eight hundred and three games for one club, a career plus-93, and the only defenceman here the goaltending did not cost.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2012-13MIN452911+310100513.923:13
2013-14MIN79811190223007410.823:54
2014-15MIN7131417+218001953.224:10
2015-16MIN68257-520000583.520:25
2016-17MIN6832225+520202853.519:34
2017-18MIN7361521+2330001777.821:36
2018-19MIN8241418-15300121113.620:33
2019-20MIN6922628+15240001031.921:33
2020-21MIN5391423+2181027911.422:26
2021-22MIN7352530+9181011264.023:26
2022-23MIN6031114+1330000903.322:52
2023-24MIN6272027+22160011176.023:22
2024-25 so far—————————————
Career—80354186240+93246811010665.122:13

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

62 games, 7 goals and 20 assists for 27 points, 16 penalty minutes, 23:22 a night and plus-22. He took 52.9 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,178 minutes, the 75th percentile, and his ice went 52-39 against an expectation of 46.42-41.26.

Six goals of finishing above what the chances were worth and two fewer conceded than they called for. On a club that finished 28th at goaltending, he is the only defenceman on the roster who came out of it ahead.

The Finesse Game

152 attempts at a median of 53 feet with 69 per cent from beyond 40, converted at 6.0 per cent against a career 5.07.

186 career assists in 803 games. Seven goals is his third-best season in twelve years and the offence has never been the point. He skates the puck out of trouble rather than passing it out, and at 31 he is still one of the better skaters on the club.

The Physical Game

He is 6-2 and 196 and defends with reach and feet, closing on the puck instead of the man.

16 penalty minutes in 62 games at twenty-three and a half a night is one of the lowest rates in the league for the ice he takes. He blocks shots and kills penalties and does not hit anybody.

The Intangibles

Tenth overall in 2011 out of Karlstad, twelve seasons, 803 games and a career plus-93, all of it for one organisation.

He is 31 and missed twenty games. The second-best chance suppression in hockey is built on him and on Faber, and he has been doing it for a decade without anybody outside Minnesota noticing.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • defends-with-reacha strength· takes the puck before the contact happens

    “He is 6-2 and 196 and defends with reach and feet, closing on the puck instead of the man.”

  • transitiona strength· carries it out; gains the line under control

    “He skates the puck out of trouble rather than passing it out, and at 31 he is still one of the better skaters on the club.”

  • shot-blockera strength· gets in front of it

    “He blocks shots and kills penalties and does not hit anybody.”

  • penalty-killera strength· trusted a man short

    “He blocks shots and kills penalties and does not hit anybody.”

  • punishinghe lacks it· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “He blocks shots and kills penalties and does not hit anybody.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,178 minutes

Expected goals
52.9%
75th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
51.2%
65th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 52 for, 39 against. Expected: 46.4 and 41.3.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
57th
Numbers
75th

The two rank him within 18 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 71 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 62 games

Top speed
22.0 mph
61st pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.7

Bursts over 20 mph
0.58 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
3.17 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
89.7 mph
39th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 90.2

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 1178 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
MIN took 51.3% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 52.9% — 1.6 above the club he did it on.
The role
Second pair, 1,178 minutes at five-on-five — 81st percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Brock Faber52.0%53.9%49.6%
Kirill Kaprizov55.9%50.9%55.5%
Zach Bogosian55.2%52.0%51.6%

52.0% together, 53.9% for him apart and 49.6% for Faber apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

152 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 7 of them goals. His median goal came from 29 feet. 10% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 69% from beyond forty.