Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

71

Ridly Greig

Ottawa Senators Center

Sixty-six penalty minutes at 22, and the best finishing surplus on the club.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2022-23OTT20279+112000306.712:54
2023-24OTT72131326+10662119713.414:45
2024-25 so far
Career92152035+117821112711.814:21

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

72 games, 13 goals and 13 assists for 26 points, 2 on the power play, 1 shorthanded, 66 penalty minutes, 14:45 a night and plus-10 — the best plus-minus on the club. He took 50.0 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 908 minutes, the 53rd percentile, and his ice went 43-35 against an expectation of 36.49-36.48.

Seven goals of finishing above what the chances were worth, the largest surplus on the club, and one fewer conceded than they called for. An exactly even chance share that came out plus-8 in goals.

The Finesse Game

139 attempts at a median of 21 feet with 46 per cent of them from inside twenty and 14 per cent from beyond forty, 97 of those on goal, converted at 13.4 per cent against a career 11.81 across 127 shots.

A 21-foot median is among the closest on this roster. He does not shoot from distance and does not try to; the attempts come from the slot and the goal line, and 13 goals in a fourth-line role at 22 is a real return on 14:45 a night.

The Physical Game

He is 6-0 and 184 and took 66 penalty minutes.

78 career penalty minutes in 92 games. He is a small man who forechecks like a large one, finishes every check he can reach and spends most of a shift making the other club’s defencemen unhappy. The penalties are the cost of the way he plays and at his size they will not go away.

The Intangibles

Twenty-eighth overall in 2020, two seasons, 35 points in 92 games and a career plus-11.

One career shorthanded goal, and a plus-11 across two seasons on a club that has been outscored in both. He is 22, he is the most irritating player on the roster to play against, and his ice was plus-8 on an exactly even share of the chances.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 908 minutes

Expected goals
50%
53rd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
49.8%
54th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 43 for, 35 against. Expected: 36.5 and 36.5.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
74th
Numbers
53rd

The report ranks him 21 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 437 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 71 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 908 minutes at five-on-five

  • Mathieu Josephnow STL32%
  • Dominik Kubalikoff the roster30%

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
OTT took 49.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 50.0% — 0.8 above the club he did it on.
The role
Third line, 908 minutes at five-on-five — 48th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Jakob Chychrun47.7%51.4%47.6%
Artem Zub56.0%47.2%50.9%
Erik Brannstrom43.5%53.0%54.6%

47.7% together, 51.4% for him apart and 47.6% for Chychrun apart. He was better away from Chychrun, who was no worse away from him — the pairing cost him more than it cost Chychrun.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

139 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 13 of them goals. His median goal came from 10 feet. 46% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 14% from beyond forty.