This is the 2023-24 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Ridly Greig
Ottawa Senators Center
Twenty games, 56 per cent of the expected goals, and nothing else yet.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-23 | OTT | 20 | 2 | 7 | 9 | +1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 6.7 | 12:54 |
| 2023-24 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 20 | 2 | 7 | 9 | +1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 6.7 | 12:54 |
This Season So Far
The 2023-24 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
2 goals and 7 assists in 20 games — 9 points — at 12:54 a night, in a first NHL season at twenty. Plus-1, 30 shots, twelve penalty minutes.
56 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 91st percentile, across 232 minutes, with his ice at 12-10 against an expectation of 11.17-8.76.
Two hundred and thirty-two minutes is not a season and this book will not pretend it is. What can be said is that the share is the highest of any Ottawa forward and that the deployment behind it was ordinary — 54.2 per cent attacking-zone starts, the 68th percentile.
One season, 20 games, 9 points.
The Finesse Game
30 shots at a median of 25 feet, and two goals.
Inside twenty: 15 shots on goal and 2 goals. From twenty to forty: 14 and none. One shot all season from beyond forty.
Thirty shots contains no information about finishing and the file will not invent any.
19 wrist shots and 11 backhands out of 45 tracked attempts. The backhand share is high and it is the tell of a player working below the goal line and out of the corners.
Seven assists in twenty games. That rate would be a fifty-point pace over a season and it is the one number here worth remembering.
The Physical Game
6-0 and 184, with twelve penalty minutes in twenty games.
There is no tracking record: the league’s measurements require forty games and he played twenty.
What the eye and the penalty rate agree on is that he plays a great deal harder than 184 pounds should allow. He forechecks into contact, finishes checks against defencemen who outweigh him, and antagonises.
That is a style with a cost at his size and this book has no way to price it yet.
The Intangibles
Twenty-eighth overall in 2020, and a first NHL season of twenty games at twenty.
Nine points, a plus-1 and the best chance share of any forward on the roster, all of it on a sample that settles nothing.
He is twenty-one on a club whose top six is Stützle, Tkachuk, Giroux, Batherson, Pinto and Tarasenko. The file’s real content is that there is nothing yet to argue against.
What kind of player
The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.
- a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.
“He forechecks into contact, finishes checks against defencemen who outweigh him, and antagonises.”
“Seven assists in twenty games. That rate would be a fifty-point pace over a season and it is the one number here worth remembering.”
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2022-23 · 232 minutes
- Expected goals
- 56%
- 91st pct
- Shot attempts
- 53.9%
- 85th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 12 for, 10 against. Expected: 11.2 and 8.8.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe two rank him within 17 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.
Both bars are percentiles among the 638 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 71 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Tracked
NHL Edge, 2022-23 · 20 games
- Top speed
- 21.7 mph
- 33rd pct
- Bursts over 20 mph
- 0.75 a game
- Distance
- 2.06 miles a game
- Hardest shot
- 79.1 mph
- 16th pct
fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0
how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes
skated, all strengths
one shot; the league's average best is 84.9
A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.
Usual linemates
2022-23 · 232 minutes at five-on-five
- Derick Brassardoff the roster19%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2022-23
- The club
- OTT took 51.0% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 56.0% — 5.0 above the club he did it on.
- The role
- 232 minutes at five-on-five — 2nd percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alex DeBrincat | 59.5% | 49.5% | 48.9% |
| Claude Giroux | 59.8% | 49.6% | 54.1% |
| Thomas Chabot | 57.7% | 55.1% | 51.2% |
59.5% together, 49.5% for him apart and 48.9% for DeBrincat apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
45 unblocked shots in 2022-23, 2 of them goals. His median goal came from 17 feet. 56% of his shots came from inside twenty feet.