Armchair Hockey Scout

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2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

2

Artem Zub

Ottawa Senators Defense

Undrafted out of Khabarovsk, and twenty-one minutes a night of doing exactly one job.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2020-21OTT4731114+426001397.718:23
2021-22OTT8161622+160000926.521:02
2022-23OTT533710+239000417.320:15
2023-24OTT6952025+532010855.921:01
2024-25 so far—————————————
Career—250175471+121570112576.620:22

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

69 games, 5 goals and 20 assists for 25 points, 1 shorthanded, 32 penalty minutes, 21:01 a night and plus-5. He took 52.1 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,224 minutes, the 69th percentile, and his ice went 53-55 against an expectation of 50.33-46.28.

Three goals of finishing above what the chances were worth and nine more conceded than they called for. Twenty-five points is a career high and the plus-5 was one of only five positive figures among Ottawa’s regulars.

The Finesse Game

123 attempts at a median of 58 feet with 84 per cent of them from beyond forty and 4 per cent from inside twenty, 85 of those on goal, converted at 5.9 per cent against a career 6.61 across 257 shots.

Four per cent of his attempts from inside twenty feet is a defenceman who has never once been confused about what he is for. 54 career assists in 250 games, almost all of them the simple first pass, and no career power-play goal in four seasons.

The Physical Game

He is 6-3 and 201 and took 32 penalty minutes.

157 career penalty minutes in 250 games. He defends with reach before contact and gets a stick on pucks a step before they reach him, and he steps in front of shots rather than turning away from them. He is hard to get around and harder to get through.

The Intangibles

Undrafted, out of Khabarovsk, four seasons and 250 games, all of them in Ottawa, at a career plus-12.

A career plus-12 across four seasons of a club that has been outscored in every one of them is the most useful number on his page. He arrived at 25 and has been the most reliable defenceman on the roster ever since.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • perimeter· shoots from the outside, by choice or because he cannot get in

    83.7% of his attempts from 40 feet or beyond, 95th percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it

  • undrafteda strength· arrived without a pick attached

    “Undrafted, out of Khabarovsk, four seasons and 250 games, all of them in Ottawa, at a career plus-12.”

  • defends-with-reacha strength· takes the puck before the contact happens

    “He defends with reach before contact and gets a stick on pucks a step before they reach him, and he steps in front of shots rather than turning away from them.”

  • shot-blockera strength· gets in front of it

    “He is hard to get around and harder to get through.”

  • defensively-responsiblea strength· comes back; can be trusted with a lead

    “Four per cent of his attempts from inside twenty feet is a defenceman who has never once been confused about what he is for.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,224 minutes

Expected goals
52.1%
69th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
52.9%
78th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 53 for, 55 against. Expected: 50.3 and 46.3.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
24th
Numbers
69th

The numbers rank him 45 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 63 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 69 games

Top speed
20.7 mph
12th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.7

Bursts over 20 mph
0.10 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.76 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
93.8 mph
65th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 90.2

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 1224 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
OTT took 49.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 52.1% — 2.9 above the club he did it on.
The role
Second pair, 1,224 minutes at five-on-five — 85th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Jake Sanderson54.8%46.4%50.1%
Claude Giroux52.6%51.8%52.7%
Brady Tkachuk56.0%49.8%54.9%

54.8% together, 46.4% for him apart and 50.1% for Sanderson apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

123 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 3 of them goals. His median goal came from 58 feet. 4% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 84% from beyond forty.