This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Noah Gregor
Ottawa Senators Left Wing
The ninth percentile of chances over 644 minutes, on the club that finished fifth in the East.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-20 | SJS | 28 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 9.1 | 10:04 |
| 2020-21 | SJS | 30 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -16 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 60 | 8.3 | 11:43 |
| 2021-22 | SJS | 63 | 8 | 15 | 23 | -21 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 156 | 5.1 | 14:56 |
| 2022-23 | SJS | 57 | 10 | 7 | 17 | -9 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 119 | 8.4 | 12:58 |
| 2023-24 | TOR | 63 | 6 | 6 | 12 | -7 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 110 | 5.5 | 11:24 |
| 2024-25 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 241 | 32 | 31 | 63 | -58 | 88 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 478 | 6.7 | 12:35 |
This Season So Far
The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
63 games for Toronto, 6 goals and 6 assists for 12 points, 1 on the power play, 1 shorthanded, 17 penalty minutes, 11:24 a night and minus-7. He took 42.1 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 644 minutes, the 9th percentile, and his ice went 16-27 against an expectation of 21.11-29.06.
Five goals of finishing below what the chances were worth and two fewer conceded than they called for. A 9th percentile chance share is the worst figure anybody Ottawa added last summer brought with them.
The Finesse Game
155 attempts at a median of 27 feet with 37 per cent of them from inside twenty, 110 of those on goal, converted at 5.5 per cent against a career 6.69 across 478 shots.
A career 6.69 per cent across 478 shots is a very poor finishing rate for a forward whose only real asset is speed. 32 goals and 31 assists in 241 games across five seasons.
The Physical Game
He is 6-0 and 201 and took 17 penalty minutes.
88 career penalty minutes in 241 games. He forechecks at speed and gets to pucks first, which is the one thing he does better than most, and then loses the ensuing battle more often than he wins it.
The Intangibles
111th overall in 2016 by San Jose, five seasons, two organisations, 63 points in 241 games and a career minus-58.
One career shorthanded goal, which is the use a coach finds for a fourth-line forward who can skate. He is 26 and has been outscored by 58 goals across five seasons on three clubs.
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 644 minutes
- Expected goals
- 42.1%
- 9th pct
- Shot attempts
- 45.2%
- 18th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 16 for, 27 against. Expected: 21.1 and 29.1.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe two rank him within 3 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.
Both bars are percentiles among the 437 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 57 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Usual linemates
2023-24 with TOR · 644 minutes at five-on-five
- David Kampf68%
- Bobby McMann28%
- Ryan Reaves24%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2023-24
- The club
- TOR took 52.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 42.1% — 10.0 below the club he did it on.
- The role
- Fourth line, 644 minutes at five-on-five — 28th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| David Kampf | 41.6% | 43.2% | 47.2% |
| TJ Brodie | 40.9% | 42.7% | 50.8% |
| Jake McCabe | 44.1% | 41.0% | 54.5% |
41.6% together, 43.2% for him apart and 47.2% for Kampf apart. Kampf was better away from him while his own share held, which is a mark against him more than for him.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
155 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 7 of them goals. His median goal came from 32 feet. 37% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 22% from beyond forty.