Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

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71

Ridly Greig

Ottawa Senators Center

Forty-seven per cent of his shot attempts came from inside 20 feet — the highest share of any full-season forward on the club — and he took 60 penalty minutes doing it.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2022-23OTT20279+112000306.712:54
2023-24OTT72131326+10662119713.414:45
2024-25OTT78132134-116032211910.917:05
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—170284169013853324611.415:36

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

13 goals and 21 assists in 78 games — 34 points at 17:05 a night, with 60 penalty minutes and 2 shorthanded goals.

49.2 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 44th percentile. His ice went 34-48 against an expectation of 37.14-38.35, which is a third-line centre whose results matched his chances almost exactly.

The Finesse Game

119 attempts at a median of 21 feet with 47 per cent of them from inside 20 feet — the shortest median shot of any forward here who played a full season. He does not shoot from distance because he does not play there.

The skill is ordinary and the placement is not. He goes to the net, he takes what is available in the paint, and he converted at 10.9 per cent doing it.

The Physical Game

6-0 and 184 and among the most irritating players in the league to line up against. He hits people who outweigh him, he talks, and he draws the response.

60 penalty minutes in 78 games is the cost of it, and a fair amount of that total is the second penalty in a sequence he started. The club accepts the trade because the first one is usually somebody else’s.

The Intangibles

Twenty-eighth overall in 2020 and the son of a long-time professional. He is 23, 170 games in, and has already made himself a permanent enemy of the club Ottawa played in the first round.

There is no version of this player that works if he stops. The whole of his value is that he will not.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    78 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • net-fronta strength· lives in the blue paint; the screens and the tips

    “He goes to the net, he takes what is available in the paint, and he converted at 10.9 per cent doing it.”

  • agitatora strength· gets under the skin; draws the retaliation

    “He hits people who outweigh him, he talks, and he draws the response.”

  • punishinga strength· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “He hits people who outweigh him, he talks, and he draws the response.”

  • retaliatesa strength· answers the cross-check, and takes the second penalty

    “**60 penalty minutes in 78 games** is the cost of it, and a fair amount of that total is the second penalty in a sequence he started.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,020 minutes

Expected goals
49.2%
46th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
47.8%
32nd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 34 for, 48 against. Expected: 37.1 and 38.4.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
76th
Numbers
46th

The report ranks him 30 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 77 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 78 games

Top speed
22.6 mph
65th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
1.33 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.61 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
86.4 mph
54th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1020 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
OTT took 50.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 49.2% — 1.0 below the club he did it on.
The role
Second line, 1,020 minutes at five-on-five — 64th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Shane Pinto52.5%46.0%53.1%
Thomas Chabot50.3%48.5%53.5%
Jake Sanderson49.0%49.3%52.8%

52.5% together, 46.0% for him apart and 53.1% for Pinto apart. He was worse away from Pinto, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Pinto did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

184 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 13 of them goals. His median goal came from 9 feet. 48% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 15% from beyond forty.