This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Mathieu Joseph
St. Louis Blues Right Wing
A career high of 35 points at 27, and the largest goaltending shortfall on the roster.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-19 | TBL | 70 | 13 | 13 | 26 | +5 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 95 | 13.7 | 11:22 |
| 2019-20 | TBL | 37 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -2 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 11.4 | 11:31 |
| 2020-21 | TBL | 56 | 12 | 7 | 19 | +3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 20.3 | 10:56 |
| 2021-22 | TBL/OTT | 69 | 12 | 18 | 30 | +12 | 29 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 86 | 14.0 | 14:12 |
| 2022-23 | OTT | 56 | 3 | 15 | 18 | +5 | 36 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 66 | 4.5 | 14:01 |
| 2023-24 | OTT | 72 | 11 | 24 | 35 | -4 | 51 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 124 | 8.9 | 16:28 |
| 2024-25 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 360 | 55 | 80 | 135 | +19 | 168 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 465 | 11.8 | 13:17 |
This Season So Far
The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
72 games with Ottawa, 11 goals and 24 assists for 35 points, 1 shorthanded, 51 penalty minutes, 16:28 a night and minus-4, with 3 game-winners. He took 47.1 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,007 minutes, the 35th percentile, and his ice went 42-50 against an expectation of 36.47-40.91.
Six goals of finishing above what the chances were worth and nine more conceded than they called for — the largest goaltending shortfall of anybody on this roster. Thirty-five points is a career high by five.
The Finesse Game
185 attempts at a median of 26 feet with 35 per cent of them from inside twenty, 121 of those on goal, converted at 8.9 per cent against a career 11.83 across 465 shots.
Fifty-five career goals and 80 assists in 360 games. He is a speed winger who carries the puck through the neutral zone rather than chipping it, and 24 assists on a middling club says the passing is better than the goal totals suggest.
The Physical Game
He is 6-1 and 189 and took 51 penalty minutes.
168 career penalty minutes in 360 games. He finishes checks at speed and takes the occasional penalty for arriving late, which for a winger his size is the honest way to play.
The Intangibles
One hundred and twentieth overall in 2015 by Tampa Bay, six seasons, three organisations, and 135 points in 360 games.
Five career shorthanded goals and a career plus-19 — one of the few positive figures on this roster. He was a fourth-round pick who has played 360 games without ever being anybody’s first choice.
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,007 minutes
- Expected goals
- 47.1%
- 33rd pct
- Shot attempts
- 48.8%
- 44th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 42 for, 50 against. Expected: 36.5 and 40.9.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe report ranks him 34 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.
Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 73 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Usual linemates
2023-24 with OTT · 1007 minutes at five-on-five
- Tim Stützle42%
- Ridly Greig29%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2023-24
- The club
- OTT took 49.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 47.1% — 2.1 below the club he did it on.
- The role
- First line, 1,007 minutes at five-on-five — 58th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Stützle | 50.5% | 44.5% | 50.8% |
| Claude Giroux | 50.7% | 44.4% | 53.6% |
| Jakob Chychrun | 44.2% | 49.1% | 48.7% |
50.5% together, 44.5% for him apart and 50.8% for Stützle apart. He was worse away from Stützle, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Stützle did.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
185 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 10 of them goals. His median goal came from 15 feet. 35% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 22% from beyond forty.