Armchair Hockey Scout

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2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

21

Mathieu Joseph

Edmonton Oilers Right Wing

Speed, penalty-killing minutes, and a scoring touch that has been trending the wrong way for 3 years.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2018-19TBL70131326+5260019513.711:22
2019-20TBL37437-2160003511.411:31
2020-21TBL5612719+3101025920.310:56
2021-22TBL/OTT69121830+12290238614.014:12
2022-23OTT5631518+536120664.514:01
2023-24OTT72112435-4510131248.916:28
2024-25STL6041014-628010695.811:54
2025-26STL/LAK512911-79011365.611:59
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—4716199160+6205271057010.712:58

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

2 goals and 11 points in 51 games across St. Louis and Edmonton, under 13 minutes a night. He has been a 30-point player before; he has not been one recently.

The Finesse Game

Quick, and the quickness is the whole file. He is a genuine burner in transition, dangerous shorthanded, and capable of turning a neutral-zone turnover into a chance by himself. He has a decent release when he uses it.

Away from the rush, the offense is thin. He does not win pucks below the goal line, he is not a factor on the cycle, and he has never generated much for linemates. When the speed does not produce, the shift produces nothing.

The Physical Game

6-1 and 189, and he plays a light game. He uses his stick and his angles well on the penalty kill, which is where most of his defensive value sits, but he is not going to out-muscle anybody for a puck.

The Intangibles

Coaches keep giving him a job because he can skate and kill penalties, and both of those travel. The production has been going down for long enough now that a bounce-back is a hope rather than an expectation.

A useful thirteenth forward on a deep team, which on this roster is exactly what he is being asked to be.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 575 minutes

Expected goals
50.6%
60th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
48.7%
43rd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 14 for, 22 against. Expected: 18.4 and 18.0.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
44th
Numbers
60th

The two rank him within 16 points of one another. It was written with these numbers on screen, so the agreement is not corroboration — the arithmetic is on both sides of it.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 71 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 51 games

Top speed
22.8 mph
77th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
1.67 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
1.97 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
82.9 mph
36th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.6

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

3

points in his last 10 games — 0 goals, 3 assists, 9 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 with STL · 459 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
LAK took 51.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 50.6% — 1.3 below the club he did it on.
The role
575 minutes at five-on-five — 23rd percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Cam Fowler43.8%53.3%49.6%
Philip Broberg52.7%49.8%51.5%
Colton Parayko52.1%50.0%51.4%

43.8% together, 53.3% for him apart and 49.6% for Fowler apart. Both were better apart than together — the pairing was doing neither of them any favours.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

66 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 2 of them goals. His median goal came from 26 feet. 53% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 21% from beyond forty.