This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Mathieu Joseph
Ottawa Senators Right Wing
The 8th-most takeaways of 393 forwards and the best chance share on the club, at the 91st percentile for penalty-killing.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-19 | TBL | 70 | 13 | 13 | 26 | +5 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 95 | 13.7 | 11:22 |
| 2019-20 | TBL | 37 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -2 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 11.4 | 11:31 |
| 2020-21 | TBL | 56 | 12 | 7 | 19 | +3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 20.3 | 10:56 |
| 2021-22 | TBL/OTT | 69 | 12 | 18 | 30 | +12 | 29 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 86 | 14.0 | 14:12 |
| 2022-23 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 232 | 41 | 41 | 82 | +18 | 81 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 275 | 14.9 | 12:08 |
This Season So Far
The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
69 games between Tampa Bay and Ottawa, 12 goals and 18 assists at 14:12 a night, plus-12, twenty-nine penalty minutes, 86 shots. One hundred and twentieth overall in 2015 by Tampa Bay, four seasons, 232 games, 82 points.
The Finesse Game
2.76 takeaways per 60 is the 8th-most of the 393 forwards who played forty games and 9.7 bursts over 20 mph per 60 the 86th percentile, from a winger playing fourteen minutes a night.
1.88 even-strength points per 60 is the 55th percentile and none of his points came on the power play at all — nine seconds a night.
5.27 shots per 60 is the 15th percentile at 14.0 per cent. Fifty-three per cent from the slot at a 22-foot median — good places, very little volume.
51.6 per cent of the expected goals and 51.6 per cent of the attempts are the best pair of shares of any Ottawa forward, out of 50.9 per cent offensive-zone starts, the 315th of 652 skaters — dead level.
That combination is the most useful thing on this roster after the top line, and it comes from a fourth-round pick at fourteen minutes a night.
His ice went 34-29 against an expectation of 34.10-32.01.
The Physical Game
6.49 hits per 60 is the 74th percentile and 1.65 blocks the 47th at 6-1 and 189.
1.35 penalties drawn per 60 is the 89th percentile against 0.80 taken — the 89th-percentile net — and twenty-nine penalty minutes came out of sixty-nine games.
The Intangibles
1:59 short-handed a night is the 91st percentile among forwards, and two of his twelve goals came a man short.
22.7 mph is the 70th percentile and 9.53 miles per 60 the 38th. Quick in bursts, ordinary in ground covered.
He is 25 with 232 NHL games and a career plus-18 on clubs that have mostly been good. The takeaway rate, the penalty differential, the kill and the level chance share are four genuinely good numbers, and 5.27 shots per 60 with no power-play time is the ceiling that comes with them.
What kind of player
The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.
- measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
- a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.
- drives-play· the shot clock turns his way while he is out there
51.6% of the expected goals at five-on-five with him on, 45.9% for his club in the minutes he sat: +5.7, 92nd percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats moderately (0.39) · 29% keep it
“2.76 takeaways per 60 is the 8th-most of the 393 forwards who played forty games and 9.7 bursts over 20 mph per 60 the 86th percentile, from a winger playing fourteen minutes a night.”
“1:59 short-handed a night is the 91st percentile among forwards, and two of his twelve goals came a man short.”
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 820 minutes
- Expected goals
- 51.6%
- 67th pct
- Shot attempts
- 51.6%
- 70th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 34 for, 29 against. Expected: 34.1 and 32.0.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe two rank him within 3 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.
Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 65 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Tracked
NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 69 games
- Top speed
- 22.7 mph
- 80th pct
- Bursts over 20 mph
- 2.30 a game
- Distance
- 2.25 miles a game
- Hardest shot
- 89.3 mph
- 62nd pct
fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0
how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes
skated, all strengths
one shot; the league's average best is 84.1
A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.
Usual linemates
2021-22 with TBL · 665 minutes at five-on-five
- Alex Killorn43%
- Ross Colton23%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2021-22
- The club
- OTT took 47.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 51.6% — 4.5 above the club he did it on.
- The role
- 820 minutes at five-on-five — 42nd percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Killorn | 48.3% | 53.4% | 49.5% |
| Victor Hedman | 48.9% | 52.8% | 56.7% |
| Steven Stamkos | 49.6% | 52.4% | 53.4% |
48.3% together, 53.4% for him apart and 49.5% for Killorn apart. He was better away from Killorn, who was no worse away from him — the pairing cost him more than it cost Killorn.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
124 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 12 of them goals. His median goal came from 18 feet. 44% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 18% from beyond forty.