Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

18

Tim Stützle

Ottawa Senators Center

Fifty-two assists at 22, and twenty-one fewer goals than the year before.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2020-21OTT53121729-181440211110.815:44
2021-22OTT79223658-273771417612.518:25
2022-23OTT78395190-354103322817.121:16
2023-24OTT75185270-17281021929.421:07
2024-25 so far
Career28591156247-651332241170712.919:24

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

75 games, 18 goals and 52 assists for 70 points, 1 on the power play, 28 penalty minutes, 21:07 a night and minus-17. He took 50.7 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,210 minutes, the 58th percentile, and his ice went 58-67 against an expectation of 54.73-53.24.

Three goals of finishing above what the chances were worth and fourteen more conceded than they called for, which is the largest goaltending deficit of any forward on the club. Ninety points the season before, seventy this one, and the whole of the difference is goals: 39 became 18.

The Finesse Game

269 attempts at a median of 25 feet with 39 per cent of them from inside twenty, 192 of those on goal, converted at 9.4 per cent against a career 12.87 across 707 shots.

Fifty-two assists and 156 in 285 career games. He carries the puck through the neutral zone as well as anybody on this roster and beats the first man wide almost at will; the passing has always been ahead of the shot, and a season three and a half points of shooting below his own career rate is most of why the goals halved.

The Physical Game

He is 6-0 and 187 and took 28 penalty minutes.

133 career penalty minutes in 285 games. He does not forecheck by contact and does not win pucks on the wall; the defensive value is entirely in the skating, and a career minus-65 says the rest of it has not arrived.

The Intangibles

Third overall in 2020, four seasons, 247 points in 285 games at 22.

Four career shorthanded goals, which is a use his coaches have found for the speed. He is 22 with 247 points in 285 games and a career minus-65; the first of those is the case for him and the second is the case against.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,210 minutes

Expected goals
50.7%
59th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
52.4%
75th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 58 for, 67 against. Expected: 54.7 and 53.2.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
74th
Numbers
59th

The two rank him within 15 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 437 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 71 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 1210 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
OTT took 49.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 50.7% — 1.5 above the club he did it on.
The role
First line, 1,210 minutes at five-on-five — 83rd percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Claude Giroux53.5%47.3%51.6%
Jakob Chychrun50.3%51.0%46.2%
Jake Sanderson53.9%48.9%52.5%

53.5% together, 47.3% for him apart and 51.6% for Giroux apart. He was worse away from Giroux, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Giroux did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

269 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 20 of them goals. His median goal came from 15 feet. 39% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 17% from beyond forty.