Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

21

Mathieu Joseph

St. Louis Blues Right Wing

Fourteen points in 60 games at twelve minutes a night, from a winger whose ice outscored its chances by eleven.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2018-19TBL70131326+5260019513.711:22
2019-20TBL37437-2160003511.411:31
2020-21TBL5612719+3101025920.310:56
2021-22TBL/OTT69121830+12290238614.014:12
2022-23OTT5631518+536120664.514:01
2023-24OTT72112435-4510131248.916:28
2024-25STL6041014-628010695.811:54
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—4205990149+1319626953411.113:05

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

4 goals and 10 assists in 60 games — 14 points at 11:54 a night, minus-6, with a shorthanded goal and 28 penalty minutes.

53.0 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 80th percentile, across 640 minutes. His ice went 19-26 against an expectation of 21.33-18.92 — eleven goals better than expected for and seven worse against, on a fourth line.

The Finesse Game

69 attempts at a median of 31 feet and 4 goals at a 5.8 per cent conversion, which is the lowest of any forward on the club. He does not finish.

10 assists in 60 games. The skating is the asset — he is among the faster forwards here and he is used to chase pucks down and to relieve pressure rather than to create anything.

The Physical Game

6-1 and 189 and light. He does not forecheck with force and he is not going to win a puck against a defenceman.

28 penalty minutes in 60 games. He is honest defensively, he kills penalties, and the physical game is not a part of the appeal.

The Intangibles

A fourth-round pick of Tampa Bay in 2015 and 420 games and 149 points across three organisations.

He is 28. He has scored 13 goals in a season once and has been a fourth-line penalty killer for most of the time since.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • penalty-killera strength· trusted a man short

    “He is honest defensively, he kills penalties, and the physical game is not a part of the appeal.”

  • forechecks-aggressivelyhe lacks it· first man in, and on the puck

    “He does not forecheck with force and he is not going to win a puck against a defenceman.”

  • wins-the-wallhe lacks it· the corners and below the goal line

    “He does not forecheck with force and he is not going to win a puck against a defenceman.”

  • transitiona strength· carries it out; gains the line under control

    “The skating is the asset — he is among the faster forwards here and he is used to chase pucks down and to relieve pressure rather than to create anything.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 640 minutes

Expected goals
53%
78th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
49.4%
46th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 19 for, 26 against. Expected: 21.3 and 18.9.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
17th
Numbers
78th

The numbers rank him 61 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 66 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 60 games

Top speed
23.0 mph
86th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
1.32 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
1.92 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
87.0 mph
59th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 640 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
STL took 51.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 53.0% — 1.9 above the club he did it on.
The role
Fourth line, 640 minutes at five-on-five — 24th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Ryan Suter52.7%53.2%47.3%
Oskar Sundqvist56.6%50.7%49.7%
Zachary Bolduc60.6%48.6%50.8%

52.7% together, 53.2% for him apart and 47.3% for Suter apart. Suter was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Suter than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

105 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 4 of them goals. His median goal came from 25 feet. 31% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 20% from beyond forty.