This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Dakota Joshua
Vancouver Canucks Center
A 60.4 per cent chance share across thirty games at 8:30 a night, on the softest shot the tracking recorded.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-21 | STL | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11.1 | 8:58 |
| 2021-22 | STL | 30 | 3 | 5 | 8 | +6 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 9.7 | 8:30 |
| 2022-23 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 42 | 4 | 5 | 9 | +3 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 10.0 | 8:38 |
This Season So Far
The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
30 games for St Louis, 3 goals and 5 assists at 8:30 a night, plus-6, sixteen penalty minutes, 31 shots and two game-winners. Hundred-and-twenty-eighth overall in 2014 by Toronto — the fifth round — two seasons, 42 games, 9 points.
Two hundred and fifty-seven minutes of five-on-five ice is half the five hundred this book requires before it will place a man in the league distribution, so what follows is described rather than ranked.
The Finesse Game
Sixty-six per cent of his attempts came from inside twenty feet at a 15-foot median, and two per cent from beyond forty, at 6-3 and 218 pounds.
60.4 per cent of the expected goals across 257 five-on-five minutes, which is the highest figure attached to any skater in this chapter and needs two things said about it. It comes from a quarter-season, and it was produced in St Louis on a club that finished 2nd in the league in finishing.
He started fifty per cent of his end-zone shifts in the attacking end — fifty-seven against fifty-seven — so the chair is not the explanation.
His ice went 15-9 against an expectation of 12.09-7.92, three ahead in front and one more against, on twenty-four goals.
The Physical Game
6-3 and 218 pounds, and sixteen penalty minutes in thirty games — twenty-three across a forty-two-game career.
The Intangibles
His shot is 76.3 mph. The softest shot among all 557 qualified skaters is 77.4, so on thirty games he shot softer than any qualified man in the league — and he takes two-thirds of his attempts from inside twenty feet, which is the only way that works.
21.4 mph top speed and 0.6 bursts a game, both from thirty games, and 1.39 miles a game at 8:30 of ice, which is the shift rather than the skater.
He is 26, a fifth-round pick, with nine points in forty-two NHL games. The shot chart, the size and a possession share nobody else in this chapter matched are the case for a look. Two hundred and fifty-seven minutes will not settle it, and the softest shot the tracking recorded is the reason to be careful.
What kind of player
The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.
- a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.
“Sixty-six per cent of his attempts came from inside twenty feet at a 15-foot median, and two per cent from beyond forty, at 6-3 and 218 pounds.”
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 257 minutes
- Expected goals
- 60.4%
- 99th pct
- Shot attempts
- 53%
- 78th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 15 for, 9 against. Expected: 12.1 and 7.9.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe numbers rank him 56 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.
Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 59 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Tracked
NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 30 games
- Top speed
- 21.4 mph
- 23rd pct
- Bursts over 20 mph
- 0.60 a game
- Distance
- 1.39 miles a game
- Hardest shot
- 76.3 mph
- 13th pct
fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0
how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes
skated, all strengths
one shot; the league's average best is 84.1
A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.
Usual linemates
2021-22 with STL · 257 minutes at five-on-five
- Logan Brown32%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2021-22
- The club
- STL took 48.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 60.4% — 12.2 above the club he did it on.
- The role
- 257 minutes at five-on-five — 6th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Klim Kostin | 57.8% | 61.7% | 43.7% |
| Colton Parayko | 59.7% | 60.8% | 45.9% |
| Logan Brown | 65.2% | 57.8% | 46.4% |
57.8% together, 61.7% for him apart and 43.7% for Kostin apart. He was carrying it: the share stayed with him and left Kostin behind.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
41 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 3 of them goals. His median goal came from 14 feet. 66% of his shots came from inside twenty feet.