This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Ross Colton
Tampa Bay Lightning Center
The 2nd-fewest giveaways of all 393 forwards, with twenty-two goals on a 12:48 shift.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-21 | TBL | 30 | 9 | 3 | 12 | +3 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 46 | 19.6 | 10:34 |
| 2021-22 | TBL | 79 | 22 | 17 | 39 | +4 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 159 | 13.8 | 12:48 |
| 2022-23 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 109 | 31 | 20 | 51 | +7 | 40 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 205 | 15.1 | 12:11 |
This Season So Far
The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
79 games, 22 goals and 17 assists at 12:48 a night, plus-4, twenty-four penalty minutes, 159 shots. One of the twenty-two came on the power play. Hundred-and-eighteenth overall in 2016 by Tampa Bay — the fourth round — two seasons, 109 games, 51 points.
The Finesse Game
0.47 giveaways per 60 is the 2nd-fewest of all 393 forwards who played forty games — only Justin Danforth lost the puck less often — against 1.72 takeaways at the 58th percentile.
Three and a half times as many won as lost. That is the best ratio on this roster and one of the best in the league.
9.44 shots per 60 is the 83rd percentile at 13.8 per cent, off a 12:48 shift at the 22nd — twenty-two goals from the smallest workload of any twenty-goal scorer on the club.
2.27 even-strength points per 60 is the 75th percentile and only one of his twenty-two goals came on the power play.
53.4 per cent of the expected goals is the 75th percentile and 51.8 per cent of the attempts the 69th, out of 47.0 per cent offensive-zone starts, the 236th-lowest of 652 skaters.
The Physical Game
9.08 hits per 60 is the 86th percentile among forwards and 8.6 bursts over twenty miles an hour per 60 the 81st, on a 12:48 shift.
Twenty-four penalty minutes in seventy-nine games, and 1.13 penalties drawn per 60 at the 80th percentile against 0.47 taken at the 28th.
6-0 and 194 pounds, and 2.14 blocks per 60 at the 74th.
The Intangibles
22.7 mph is the 67th percentile and 9.87 miles per 60 the 69th, against the 81st-percentile sprint count.
Everything in the skating file is above the middle and nothing is elite, which is the honest description of a fourth-line forward who hits, forechecks and does not lose the puck.
His shot is 93.7 mph, the 76th percentile.
He is 26, with fifty-one points in 109 games across two seasons. Twenty-two goals off thirteen minutes, the giveaway ledger, the hits and the penalty differential are four things that make a bottom-six forward valuable. A 13.8 per cent conversion rate and a first full season are the two reasons to wait before pricing it.
What kind of player
The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.
- measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
- a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.
- durable· was available
79 of 82 games
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it
“9.08 hits per 60 is the 86th percentile among forwards and 8.6 bursts over twenty miles an hour per 60 the 81st, on a 12:48 shift.”
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 892 minutes
- Expected goals
- 53.4%
- 79th pct
- Shot attempts
- 51.8%
- 71st pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 38 for, 34 against. Expected: 40.2 and 35.1.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe two rank him within 11 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.
Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 71 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Tracked
NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 79 games
- Top speed
- 22.7 mph
- 78th pct
- Bursts over 20 mph
- 1.84 a game
- Distance
- 2.10 miles a game
- Hardest shot
- 93.7 mph
- 84th pct
fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0
how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes
skated, all strengths
one shot; the league's average best is 84.1
A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.
Usual linemates
2021-22 · 892 minutes at five-on-five
- Corey Perry21%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2021-22
- The club
- TBL took 52.5% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 53.4% — 0.9 above the club he did it on.
- The role
- Fourth line, 892 minutes at five-on-five — 49th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mikhail Sergachev | 57.0% | 51.2% | 51.2% |
| Victor Hedman | 59.1% | 50.6% | 54.6% |
| Taylor Raddysh | 52.9% | 53.6% | 46.4% |
57.0% together, 51.2% for him apart and 51.2% for Sergachev apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
217 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 23 of them goals. His median goal came from 14 feet. 36% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 17% from beyond forty.