Armchair Hockey Scout

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2022-23 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2022-23 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

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76

Jonny Brodzinski

New York Rangers Center

Twenty-two games at 29, and one goal on thirty-four shots.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2016-17LAK6022+22000170.012:17
2017-18LAK35426+46001537.59:30
2018-19LAK13213020001711.89:55
2019-20SJS30110000050.07:24
2020-21NYR510104000714.311:20
2021-22NYR22112+110000342.910:51
2022-23 so far—————————————
Career—848715+7240011336.010:09

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

22 games, 1 goal and 1 assist at 10:51 a night, plus-1, ten penalty minutes, 34 shots. A fifth-round pick in 2013 who has played 84 NHL games across six seasons with three clubs, and has never had more than thirty-five in one.

Twenty-two games is a quarter of a season and this report will describe rather than rank.

The Finesse Game

Thirty-four shots produced one goal. Across 133 career shots he has eight, which is 6.0 per cent.

Twenty-six per cent of his shots came from the slot at a 34-foot median, with thirty-nine per cent from beyond forty feet. That is a long way out for a forward, and it is a fair part of why the conversion is what it is.

44.6 per cent of the expected goals across 217 five-on-five minutes. His ice went 5-4 against an expectation of 7.42-9.22.

49.5 per cent of his end-zone starts came in the attacking end — forty-five against forty-six, which is below the two hundred this book needs before it will place a man in the league distribution.

The Physical Game

Ten penalty minutes in twenty-two games at 6-0 and 206 pounds. Two hundred and seventeen minutes of five-on-five ice is not enough for a rate to mean anything and this report will not manufacture one.

The Intangibles

22.7 mph and forty-four recorded sprints over twenty miles an hour in twenty-two games. Both are drawn from a quarter of a season: a maximum is a maximum of however much a man played, and a count is a count of it.

92.8 mph is the one figure here that a small sample does not damage much — a top shot speed off thirty-four shots is still a real reading of how hard he can hit one, and it is ordinary.

He is 29 with 84 NHL games. A fifth-round pick who has spent six years on the edge of a roster is exactly what the file shows, and twenty-two games at ten minutes is not enough to say anything else about him.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 217 minutes

Expected goals
44.6%
16th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
48.2%
39th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 5 for, 4 against. Expected: 7.4 and 9.2.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
13th
Numbers
16th

The two rank him within 3 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 52 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 22 games

Top speed
22.7 mph
78th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0

Bursts over 20 mph
2.00 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
1.91 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
92.8 mph
81st pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.1

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2021-22 · 217 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2021-22

The club
NYR took 46.7% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 44.6% — 2.1 below the club he did it on.
The role
217 minutes at five-on-five — 2nd percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Braden Schneider42.0%46.3%41.6%
Patrik Nemeth44.2%44.8%38.8%
K'Andre Miller41.7%45.8%48.8%

42.0% together, 46.3% for him apart and 41.6% for Schneider apart. He was better away from Schneider, who was no worse away from him — the pairing cost him more than it cost Schneider.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

46 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 1 of them goals. His median goal came from 47 feet. 26% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 39% from beyond forty.